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Oil drops nearly 4% after US imposes 104% tariffs against China

Early trade on Wednesday saw oil prices drop to their lowest level in over four years, due to a looming supply concern, fueled by escalating tensions between the U.S., China and other major economies.

Brent futures fell $2.13 or 3.39% to $60.69 per barrel at 0108 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures dropped $2.36 or 3.96% to $57.22. Brent crude oil reached its lowest level since March 2021, and WTI touched its lowest level since February 2021.

Both benchmarks have fallen over five consecutive sessions after U.S. president Donald Trump announced sweeping duties on most imports, sparking fears of a global war of trade that would hit economic growth and fuel demand.

A White House official told reporters on Tuesday that the U.S. would impose a tariff of 104% on China on Wednesday at 12:01 am EDT (0401 GMT). This is an additional 50% to tariffs imposed after Beijing did not lift its retaliatory duties on U.S. products by the noon deadline set by Trump on Tuesday.

Beijing has vowed to not bow to the U.S.'s blackmail, after Trump threatened to impose an additional 50% tariff on Chinese products if China did not lift the 34% retaliatory duty.

Ye Lin, vice-president of Rystad's oil commodity markets, said that China's aggressive retaliation has heightened fears about a global economic recession.

She said that if the trade conflict continues, China's oil demand growth of 50,000 to 100,000 bpd is at risk. However, a stronger incentive to boost the domestic consumption could help mitigate these losses.

The decline in oil prices was exacerbated by the decision made last week by OPEC+ - which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia - to increase production by 411,000 barrels a day in May. Analysts say this will likely push the market to surplus.

Goldman Sachs forecasts that Brent oil and WTI crude oil could drop to $58 and $62 per barrel in December 2025, and to $55 per barrel and $51 per bar by December 2026.

On Monday, as oil prices fell, the price of Russia's ESPO blend oil fell below $60 per barrel Western cap price level for the very first time.

Data from the American Petroleum Institute showed that U.S. crude stocks fell by 1.1m barrels during the week ending April 4. This was in contrast to expectations in a survey for a build-up of about 1.4m barrels.

The Energy Information Administration will release official inventory data on Wednesday, 10:30 am EDT (1430 GMT).

(source: Reuters)