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MORNING BID ASIA-Markets mull potential United States 'no landing'

A take a look at the day ahead in Asian markets.

Trading in Asia begins on Monday with the worldwide macro and market landscape all of a sudden appearing really various from how it searched Friday, thanks to a set of U.S. work figures that not even the most bullish of forecasters expected.

The September non-farm payrolls report on Friday was unequivocally strong on all fronts, and throws into doubt the projected path for U.S. rate of interest that financiers - and possibly the Fed too - had started to settle on.

The instant shift in U.S. rate futures markets is clear - a 50 basis point rate cut next month is now entirely off the table, and indicated rates is now aligned with Fed Chair Jerome Powell's baseline case of a quarter-point cut at each of the next two conferences.

Not only that, the total amount of expected Fed rate cuts over the relieving cycle has likewise been downsized, pointing to a. higher projected terminal rate in 2026 of around 3.25%. Traders might continue to raise that greater today.

Soft landing? This may apply to inflation, which still. seems cooling towards the Fed's 2% target, but not to. the economy. With a labor market this hot, a 'no landing'. scenario instead of a soft landing is looking more likely.

The heading information of the report bear repeating - the. 254,000 payrolls figure was higher than all 73 projections in a. Reuters poll of economists, and only 3 out of 56 participants. precisely forecasted the unemployment rate being up to 4.1%.

The U.S. dollar, bond yields and stocks all leaped greater on. Friday, reflecting a broad-based vote of investor confidence in. the U.S. economy.

The dollar index increased more than 2% on the week, its finest. week in more than 2 years; Brent petroleum futures increased 9% on. the week for their finest week given that January 2023; and the Dow. ended at a record closing high.

Revived animal spirits must enhance investor sentiment in. Asia on Monday, and Nikkei futures point to a rise of around. 2.5% at the open in Japan. Nevertheless, tighter financial conditions. via the significant spikes higher in Treasury yields, the dollar and. oil warrant caution.

Asia's calendar on Monday sees the release of September. inflation figures from Thailand. Annual headline inflation is. anticipated to be 0.8%, well up from August's reading.

Thailand's inflation target range is 1% to 3%, and inflation. has can be found in below that lower band every single month because April. in 2015 except May this year.

The finance minister and reserve bank governor satisfied recently. and will satisfy later this month to discuss the inflation target. The reserve bank has resisted repeated calls from the government. to cut rate of interest.

Here are crucial advancements that could supply more instructions. to Asian markets on Monday:

- Thailand inflation (September)

- China FX reserves (September)

- Japan FX reserves (September)

(source: Reuters)