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Brazil's sugar production predicted to fall 4.8% in 2024/25, says Datagro

Brazilian mills in the primary sugar area of CentreSouth (CS) are forecasted to produce 4.8% less sugar in the new season that begins in April, compared with the previous crop, consultancy Datagro stated in a. discussion on Wednesday.

Datagro predicted Brazil's 2024/25 sugar output at 40.45. million metric tons versus 42.50 million loads in 2023/24, saying. that drier-than-normal weather in producing locations considering that November. will cut sugarcane volume by 9.8% to 592 million tons.

Datagro's chief analyst Plinio Nastari stated during the. presentation that farming yields in Brazil's CS will likely. fall to 78.8 tons of sugarcane per hectare in the brand-new crop from. 88.3 heaps per hectare in 2023/24 due to drier, warmer weather.

Datagro's Brazil sugar forecast is in line with views. of some traders and manufacturers such as

BP Bunge Bioenergia

and Sucden, who likewise see the brand-new crop at around 40 million. loads.

Asian sugar trader Wilmar

, nevertheless, thinks that an increased commercial capacity to. make sugar in Brazil, despite a smaller sized walking stick crop, could result. in sugar production to grow to as much as 44 million tons.

Datagro projected Brazil's CS ethanol production at. 30.42 billion liters (803.6 billion gallons) in 2024/25, 9.3%. less than in previous season. That number includes 7.12 billion. liters of corn-based ethanol, which demonstrates how walking cane mills are. reducing cane-based ethanol production as they make more. money producing sugar.

Nastari stated that regardless of the smaller Brazilian. production, the world will see an improvement in sugar supplies. as he expects a healing in India and Thailand.

Datagro projected an international supply surplus of 1.9 million. tons in 2024/25 versus a deficit of 0.88 million heaps in. 2023/24.

(source: Reuters)