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Venezuela starts sovereign, PDVSA debt overhaul; liabilities seen above $150 bln
Venezuela launched a restructuring on Wednesday of its sovereign debt as well as that of the state oil company PDVSA. This boosted bond prices in an effort to relieve itself of 'unsustainable obligations. In a statement, the Government said that the "orderly and comprehensive" overhaul would include both the sovereign debt as well as the debt of PDVSA. The government also stated the goal to "substantially reduce" the debt burdens. In a statement, it was stated that the restructuring is meant to "put economy at service of Venezuelan people", with any relief being directed towards social welfare, inclusive development and job creation. Venezuela has announced that it will present its macroeconomic analysis and public debt sustainability to the international financial community in the next month. Centerview Partners is acting as its financial advisor. The statement did not give any details about a restructuring timeline, creditor engagement or terms that the country might seek. The Venezuela Creditor Committee, a formal bondholder group, did not respond immediately to a comment request. Venezuela is one the largest sovereign default cases in the world, with PDVSA and the sovereign owing a total of about $60 billion. Analysts estimate that total liabilities could be more than $150 billion, including arbitration awards and accrued interest. Since 2017, the South American oil exporter is not paying its external debt. The government stated in a statement released on Wednesday that Venezuela has previously shown its solvency and willingness to meet international obligations. However, its ability to pay dues was hindered by financial sanctions since 2017. We welcome the Republic's willingness and ability to work with bondholders in order to meet its financial needs, said Pramol Dhawan. He is head of PIMCO’s Emerging Markets Portfolio Management team. After nearly a decade of default, a formal restructure is a significant step forward. He said that any durable solution will have to be comprehensive, and anchored in a credible macroeconomic structure to give creditors confidence in Venezuela's ability to service restructured debt. PDVSA bonds rose in response to the news. The 2027 bond gained nearly 2 cents, reaching 41.125 cents per dollar. The 2024 bond grew by 1.75 cents and reached 41.625 cents. Shamaila KHAN, UBS's head of Fixed Income for Emerging Markets and Asia Pacific said that this development was in line with what they had expected. "Macro- and policy fundamentals are improving and we've long seen a PDVSA and sovereign restructuring as more likely in the near term."
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Bond yields and global equities are rising with the dollar as US inflation soars
MSCI's global equities index advanced along with the dollar Wednesday as investors?assessed higher-than-expected inflation data, while they waited for a meeting between U.S. president Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the Labor Department, U.S. producer price increases were?higher than expected for April and their largest gain since early?2022. The latest economic impact of the U.S. and Israel war on Iran is evident in the U.S. consumer price data, which showed that energy costs have increased the most since 2012. Jim Baird is the chief investment officer of Plante Moran Financial Advisors. He said that this data was a further source to increase the concern about inflation. Investors are likely to be most concerned about this narrative in the short term. He added that there are two opposing forces at play: "the concerns about inflation and the implications for Fed policy and interest rates." Wall Street's technology sector was a bright spot on Wednesday, as it helped to counter inflation fears. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both advanced with the largest gains coming from shares related to artificial intelligence. Ryan Detrick is the chief market strategist for Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. After some weakness yesterday the chip stocks soared back today. Elon Musk and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang were among the entourage of President Trump who received a warm welcome on Wednesday in Beijing as he was preparing to ask China's Xi Jinping for "openness" towards U.S. businesses at the beginning of their two-day meeting. Trump stated on Tuesday that while some investors had hoped that the talks would lead to progress in the?Middle East war, he didn't think that he needed China's assistance to end the conflict. "We'll hear a message saying that the meeting was productive. In reality, the progress will be limited. I'd be realistic in my expectations. Baird, of Plante Moran, said: "You have to be." The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 67.36, or 0.14 %, to 49.693.20. The S&P 500 rose by 43.29, or 0.58 %, to 7,444.25; and the Nasdaq Composite gained 314.14, or 1.20 %), to 26,402.32. MSCI's index of stocks?across the world rose 6.01 points or 0.54% to 1,109.33. The pan-European STOXX 600 closed earlier up by 0.79%. Bond markets saw longer-dated yields reach their highest level since mid-2025, before paring gains Wednesday, after producer prices rose higher than economists expected in April. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes was flat, at 4.471% from 4.471% on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond rate rose?1.1 points to 5.04%. The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve fell by 1.7 basis points, to 3.979%. The dollar reached a new two-week high after the latest U.S. Investors focused on inflation data, while Trump and China's Xi are set to start talks in Beijing. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket including the yen, euro and other currencies) rose by 0.16% at 98.49. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.22% to $1.1711. The dollar gained 0.16% against the Japanese yen to reach 157.87. It briefly surged on Tuesday due to "rate-check" speculations, which are often viewed as a prelude?to an intervention. The pound fell 0.1% to 1.3523, as Keir starmer's hold on power began to wane. Oil futures fell as investors worried that the U.S. could raise interest rates due to inflation. They also waited for updates about the summit in Beijing. Brent crude fell 1.99% to $105.63 a barrel on Monday, while U.S. crude dropped 1.14% to $101.02 per barrel. Spot gold dropped 0.5% to $4689.91 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.04% at $4,679.60 per ounce. Reporting by Sinead Culp, Stephen Culp and Elizabeth Howcroft. Clarence Fernandez and Mark Potter edited by Keith Weir.
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Kashkari: Fed is "dead serious" about lowering inflation
Neel Kahkari, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President, said on Wednesday that U.S. employment looks "a bit better" now than earlier in the year, and that the Iran War has worsened an already high inflation rate. These views underscore Kashkari's preference to leave the Fed open to rate increases. Kashkari stated that he was "dead serious" about bringing the?inflation down at a St. Paul Area Chamber?event in St. Paul Minnesota. Kashkari is one of the three Fed policymakers that dissented at the Fed meeting in April. He advocated for a change in the Fed statement after the meeting to reflect an openness to interest rate increases and not only rate cuts. He spoke as 'the U.S. Senate was preparing to confirm Kevin Warsh, as the Fed’s new chairman. Donald Trump said he expected the Fed to reduce rates under Warsh. "The Federal Reserve chair has a great deal of influence." The chair sets the agenda. What topics will we be discussing? What types of?things are we going to consider in this 'deliberation?' Kashkari responded to a question on whether Warsh would deliver the rate reductions Trump desires. "But, when it comes to a vote (on interest rate), the chair is only one of twelve voters." So a new chair, no matter who it is, and whatever the situation, will need to convince his or her peers that this course of action is best.
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Poland claims to have intercepted Russian aircraft in the Baltic Sea
?Poland's air force intercepted an?Russian reconnaissance aircraft in international waters of the?Baltic Sea. The Russian flight was deemed a provocative act and a potential threat. The machine flew in international airspace with its?transponders off and without a flight plan. The Polish army stated in a social media post that there was no violation to?Polish airspace. Defence Minister Wladyslaw KsiniakKamysz stated that flights without transponders could be a 'threat to other aircraft' and 'that its pilots would always respond immediately. "Our aircraft intercepted an Il-20 Russian reconnaissance aircraft in international waters of the Baltic Sea." "This is yet another aggressive act by the Russian?Federation, and a test for our air defense system," he wrote in X. The Polish Army announced earlier?on Wednesday that?it?had conducted military aviation operations within Polish airspace in response to?Russian strikes against?Ukraine. The Operational Command of the Polish Armed Forces stated on X that "Ground-based radar reconnaissance and air defence systems which were activated have returned to standard operational activities."
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Gold continues to decline as inflation worries weigh on rate-cut bets
The gold price fell a second time on Wednesday as inflation fears fueled by war weighed on the expectations for interest rate reductions. Markets were also looking forward to the upcoming summit between U.S. president Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. At 1:59 pm EDT (1759 GMT), spot gold was down by 0.6% to $4,686.35 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures closed 0.4% higher at $ 4,706.70. U.S. Producer Prices increased more than expected in April, posting the biggest gain since early 2020. This is the latest sign that inflation has accelerated amid a 'war on Iran. Peter Grant, senior metals analyst at Zaner Metals and vice president, said that inflation remains sticky, and expectations of higher rates were reinforced. This has been pushing gold down the last two weeks. Gold is often seen as a hedge to inflation. However, higher interest rates tend to?pressurize the metal. The data released on Wednesday shows that the U.S. consumer price index increased in April by a further 3%, and its annual rate has reached its highest level in three years. Last month, the U.S. Central Bank left its benchmark interest rate at 3.50%-3.75%. According to CME Group's FedWatch, traders have priced in a U.S. interest rate cut for this year. Trump was in China to make deals, to maintain the fragile trade truce between China and the second largest economy of world, and to boost his public approval ratings, which were hurt by his war against Iran. India increased its import tariffs for?gold and?silver to 15%, up from 6%. This was done to reduce the amount of metals purchased overseas and to ease the pressure on the country's reserves of foreign currency. India is the?second largest consumer of precious metals in the world. Grant stated that the news of higher import duties from India could create a demand concern and be a long-term obstacle. After hitting its highest level in the past two months, spot silver rose 1.6% to $87.28 per ounce. Platinum rose 1.6% to $2.159.58 after reaching its highest level since 12 March. Palladium rose 1.2% to $1,508.39. Ashitha Shivprasad reported from Bengaluru, and Alexander Smith, Ali Williams and Diti Pjara edited the article.
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Gold prices in India surpass $200/ounce records amid profit-taking
Bullion dealers reported that gold discounts in India reached a record high of over $200 per ounce on Wednesday. This was due to the surge in price after the 'import duty increase, which triggered investor selling in a weakening 'demand. India raised its import tariffs for gold and silver from 6% to 15% on Wednesday as part of an effort to reduce overseas purchases of these metals and relieve pressure on the country’s foreign exchange reserves. "Discounts were insane in the physical market." "We were double-checking before we executed deals," said the bullion division chief of a Mumbai-based bank who has been trading gold for over two decades. Discounts offered by dealers in India On Wednesday, the official domestic price of gold was $17 per ounce, but that increased to up to $207 per ounce, including 15% import duty and 3% sales tax. Mumbai-based dealers at private banks said that the duty increase triggered a steep rise in gold prices in their locality, which led some investors to sell gold at deep discounts in order to take advantage of gains. The two bullion dealers refused to be identified as they weren't authorised to talk to the media. The price of gold futures on the?second largest consuming market in the world jumped 7.2% to 164 497 rupees for 10 grams. This was the highest level seen in over two months. The bullion dealer stated that investors?were also able to make profits on gold exchange-traded fund (ETFs) and this was adding to the supply?into the market. Ashok Jain of Mumbai's gold wholesaler,?Chenaji Narsinghji, stated that retail buyers and jewellers were on the sidelines. This increased selling pressure, pushing discounts up to "unusual high levels". A bullion dealer in Chennai also expressed concerns that the recent duty hike could increase smuggling as it increased?margins for gray-market operators from 9% to around 18%. Grey market operators sell gold for cash in order to avoid duty, which allows them to offer the product at a discount to market price by evading tax. (Reporting by Rajendra Jadhav)
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Sources claim that the Brazilian government will announce a measure to subsidise gasoline.
Two sources familiar with the matter said that the Brazilian government will announce an executive order on Wednesday to subsidize gasoline. The goal is to cushion consumers from the higher oil prices caused by the Middle East conflict. In a?statement, the government announced that it would hold a?press conference at 3 p.m. local (1800 GMT) on?Monday to announce "measures" for the fuel industry aimed at "addressing war's effects," but did not give any further details. According to a?source, the?subsidy would be paid to producers and importers of gasoline who will then pass on savings to consumers. The goal is an effect that's?similar to partial reductions in federal fuel tax. Last month, the government announced subsidies for diesel fuel and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), as well as lower taxes on biodiesel and jet fuel. High fuel prices are a concern to?President Luiz nacio Lula da Silva who is expected to run for reelection in this year. (Reporting and writing by Bernardo Caram, Editing by Gabriel Araujo).
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Egypt signs $1.5 billion loan agreement with ITFC for food and energy security
Egypt and the Islamic Trade Finance Corporation signed a $1.5 billion loan on Wednesday, to support the food and energy security of the country in the north. ITFC CEO Adib Yourssef Al?Aama stated during the signing ceremony that the ITFC had approved more than $24 billion of funding for Egypt since?2008 to support the energy sector, food security and small and medium enterprises. The funding includes $8.8 Billion for the General Authority for Supply Commodities to support Egypt’s imports of?food?commodities. This includes 12.6 Million tons of wheat. The ITFC has also helped Egypt to pay off arrears owed by foreign oil companies that it has pledged to fully repay by the end June. Egypt's bread subsidy program, which costs up to $2.6 billion per year and relies on by 70 million people, is one of the largest wheat importers in the world. The government announced last week that it could end the current subsidy programme and replace it with cash transfers beginning in July. The loan is coming as Egypt's economy absorbs the shockwaves from the war in Iran. This will put fresh pressure on the?country that is still navigating its fragile reform path under the $8 billion IMF program. The war cast a shadow on Egypt's fragile economic stability. It remains heavily reliant upon hot money inflows for financing, and on gas imports for energy.
UN document reveals that the US is attempting to undermine global efforts for development finance
A document from the United Nations that was seen by revealed that the United States wants to weaken an international deal designed to help developing countries who are struggling with climate change, among other things.
The Trump administration is against draft reforms to the global financial system that are intended to assist developing countries. This includes taxation, credit rating and fossil fuel subsidy. The administration wants to remove all mentions of "climate", "gender equality", and "sustainable development".
The document, which was previously unknown, sheds light on the Trump administration's efforts to impose an "America First", including opposition to efforts that slow climate change and promote diversification, on institutions at the core of solving global systemic crises.
The 4th International Conference on Financing for Development, which takes place every decade, will be held in Seville, Spain in June. Its aim is to influence the strategic direction taken by the development finance institutions around the world. At FFD3, countries agreed to expand tax cooperation so that developing nations could set the rules. As of May last year, more than 140 countries are involved.
Tom Mitchell, Executive Director of the International Institute for Environment and Development said, "This conference aims to bring together world leaders and set the rules and priorities for funding development goals in the next decade."
The U.N. Secretariat assisted the Mexico, Nepal and Zambia Permanent Representatives to compile the April 11 draft, which is annotated by the 193 countries involved in the discussion.
The U.S. delegation said that the FFD4 draft was prescriptive, too long and had a lot of prescriptive language. They also denounced the "ever-widening definition" of sustainable development.
Jonathan Shrier, acting U.N. Economic and Social Council Representative for the United States, said: "The international financial organizations have independent mandates and authority. We do not support any attempts to impose U.N.-style directives on their priorities or activities."
The United Nations does not have direct control over multilateral development financing institutions.
The document was a response to the U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent's pushback against the ongoing changes at both the World Bank and International Monetary Fund for the fight against Climate Change. It also showed that the U.N. reform prescriptions were being watered down.
The document reveals that the U.S. is looking to remove the reference to "a package of reforms" in relation to sustainable development. It wants to replace the line that promises to "commit reform to the international financial infrastructure" with the pledge to "recognize and enhance its resilience to current and future crises and challenges."
These changes in language can be used to support future actions or inactions in discussions by indicating the level of commitment.
In an email, Florencia Nino, spokesperson for the U.N. secretary-general Antonio Guterres said that the Secretary-General acknowledged the need to overcome many challenges before the conference. However, he urged all countries to "be at the table focused on solutions in Sevilla," she added.
Both the Treasury Department and State Department declined to comment. The White House has not responded to a comment request.
The U.S. position on development is tougher now under Trump. However, the document of negotiations shows that it still supports efforts such as developing countries working closer with the private sector and fostering financial literacy and innovation.
CLIMATE CHANGE
The global reforms aim to help the poorer nations better cope with climate change-related weather disasters and boost economic growth by using low carbon energy instead of traditional fossil fuels.
Donald Trump, the president of the United States, has withdrawn from UN climate agreement in Paris. He also slashed U.S. Foreign Development Aid by more than 80%. This was part of an overhaul government led by Elon Musk.
The U.S. has objected to several areas in the FFD4 document, including a call to countries to investigate "global solidarité levies", which could include taxes on high-polluting activities or super-rich people to finance sustainable development.
The levies, if included, could be discussed in the U.N. tax negotiations this year. They would also support a taskforce led by France Kenya and Barbados, which aims to create such taxes for smaller groups of countries.
Russia, Saudi Arabia, and China are also among the countries that object.
The document also shows that the U.S. wants to remove a paragraph that calls for companies to pay taxes to countries where economic activities occur; a paragrah on helping developing nations improve tax transparency and another one on phase-out inefficient fossil fuel subsides.
The FFD4 document indicates that the U.S. is looking to remove a paragraph about reforming the rating system.
It showed that rating agencies should be more lenient with nations who voluntarily restructure debt in order to invest in environmentally friendly projects.
Documents show that the U.S. is also against a commitment by countries to receive "adequate funding and uninterrupted at appropriate terms for social protection, and other essential social expenditures during shocks and crisis," according to the document.
The draft agreement is likely to be revised as countries continue to negotiate in May before reaching consensus on the final document by mid-June.
The U.S.'s position places pressure on other nations to accept a weaker agreement, as the talks are aimed at adopting a deal through consensus. (Reporting and editing by Dawn Kopecki and Rod Nickel in Washington Additional reporting and editing by David Lawder in London and Daphne Psaledakis and Kate Abnett in London)
(source: Reuters)