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China's economy slowed in April, as retail sales and output fell far below expectations

China's economy slowed in April, as retail sales and industrial output?growth fell short of expectations. The Asian powerhouse was also struggling with a sluggish demand and higher energy costs due to the Iran War.

The 'National Bureau of Statistics' (NBS), released data on Monday, showing that the factory output increased by?4.1%?from last year. This compares to a 5.7% increase in March, and a poll predicted a growth of 5.9%. This was the lowest growth rate since July 2023.

Retail sales, which are a measure of consumption, grew by just 0.2% last month, down from a 1.7% increase in March. This is the lowest gain since December 2022. These figures were also far below the forecast of a 2% rise.

The household consumption remains?fragile. Domestic car sales fell 21.6% from a year ago in April, the seventh consecutive month of decline.

Fixed-asset investments?decreased 1.6% in the four-month period of 2026 compared to a 1.7% increase?in January-March.

The drop in the official purchasing managers' index for construction and the heavy rains in southern China are some of the factors that have slowed investment growth.

Early signs of China's first quarter momentum were evident in April.

Beijing's target for the full year is a range of 4.5% to 5.00%. Analysts warn that the economy is still recovering unevenly as industrial production continues to exceed domestic demand.

The Middle East conflict has exposed the economy to external risk at a time when domestic consumption is fragile.

In April, China's property investments contracted by a greater amount than in the previous year.

Exports that were better than expected and China's fuel price controls at home have helped to weather the energy shock. However, higher input costs could squeeze manufacturers' margins further and hurt household spending in the event the conflict continues.

Top Chinese leaders pledged to strengthen the country's security in energy, to accelerate its technological?self sufficiency and to seek greater control over supply chains as a response to external shocks.

The Politburo reiterated China's fiscal policy as "proactive", and its monetary policy as "appropriately lax". This was in line with the previous meeting and suggested that no additional stimulus plans were imminent. Reporting by Ethan Wang and Joe Cash Editing by Shri Navaratnam

(source: Reuters)