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EIA: US natgas production and demand will reach record highs by 2025

The U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Short-Term Energy Outlook, published on Tuesday, predicted that both the U.S. Natural Gas output and demand would reach record levels in 2025.

EIA projects that dry gas production will increase from 103.2 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd), in 2024, to 104.9 bcfd, in 2025, and to 106.4 bcfd by 2026. This compares to a record-breaking 103.6 bcfd for 2023.

The agency also predicted that domestic gas consumption will rise from 90.5 bcfd, a record in 2024, to 91.3 bcfd by 2025 and then ease back to 90.7% bcfd by 2026.

The EIA's May 2025 projections were lower than its 105.3 bcfd forecast for supply in April but higher than 91.2 bcfd forecast by the agency in April.

The agency predicted that average U.S. LNG exports will reach 14.6 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2025, and 16.0 billion cubic feet per day in 2026. This is up from 11.9 billion cubic feet per day in 2024.

The agency predicted that coal production in the United States would decline from 512.1 million short tonnes in 2024 - the lowest level since 1964 - to 506.4 millions tons in 2020, which is still the lowest level since 1964, then 474.9 million in 2026 – the lowest ever since 1962.

EIA predicted that carbon dioxide (CO2) emission from fossil fuels will rise from a low of 4,775 billion metric tonnes in 2024, to 4.827 million metric tones in 2025, as oil, gas and coal use increase, before decreasing to 4.742 million metric tones in 2026, as oil and coal use decreases. (Reporting and editing by David Gregorio, Nick Zieminski).

(source: Reuters)