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Analysts at JPMorgan do not expect a special Aramco distribution this year

Analysts at JPMorgan do not expect a special Aramco distribution this year

JPMorgan stated in a Friday research note that Saudi Aramco will not have a performance-linked payout this year, following a more balanced cash cycle for 2024 after earlier bumper results which supported the special payout.

The past 18M (18-months) have delivered high-performance-linked dividends, funded by premium financials for FY22/23. We remind you that this cycle will end with YE24 (2024). We forecast that there will be no special distributions in 2025 following a more evenly balanced cash cycle of 2024," said the note.

Aramco has announced that it will report its results for 2024 on March 4 and expects to declare a total of $124.3 billion in dividends, including $43.1 billion of performance-linked dividends.

Saudi Arabia, which holds 81.5% directly of Aramco and also receives royalties and taxes, is dependent on Aramco's dividends. The Public Investment Fund, which is the sovereign fund of Saudi Arabia, owns 16% more of Aramco. It also receives dividends from Aramco as PIF invests billions to divert the economy from oil.

Last year, the government sold a portion of its long-time cash cow in order to raise $12.35 Billion from Aramco's second share offering following its record debut for 2019.

(source: Reuters)