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French nuclear giant EDF raises production forecast to 2025 and beyond

EDF, France's nuclear power company, has increased its forecasts of production for 2025. This is after the strong recovery in 2024.

The state-owned energy giant raised its production forecast on Thursday night to between 350-370 terawatt hours (TWh), compared with the previous 335-365 terawatt hours (TWh) expected for 2025-2026.

Why it is important

EDF's maintenance schedule has caused challenges over the years, but a strong winter of nuclear production has helped French baseload contracts to trade at a lower price than German ones.

CONTEXT

Nicolas Goldberg, a consultant at Colombus Consulting, stated that EDF management had set a goal to reach 400 TWh in nuclear production. This is a conservative estimate.

After the Russian invasion of Ukraine 2022, which caused electricity prices to spiral out of control and hurt European economies, Europe still struggles with a lack in power demand by large industries.

KEY QUOTE

Goldberg stated that "we could have expected the nuclear production to continue increasing."

He added, "What I believe is that there's still a backlog of significant work on the nuclear fleet which is why these conservative estimates are made."

By the Numbers

EDF's production for 2024 was revised up during the prior year to 361.7 TWh. This is 12.9% more than the 320.4TWh produced in the 2023. The company has recovered from stress corrosion problems that forced a large part of its fleet offline in the 2022. GRAPHIC

(source: Reuters)