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France and Germany trade untraded after French wind power generation surges

France and Germany trade untraded after French wind power generation surges

The French spot electricity prices dropped on Wednesday as a result of predictions for higher wind power production in Europe. Weaker consumption in Germany also added to the downward pressure. However, the German day-ahead contract was not changed early.

LSEG's analysis mentioned that a stronger German thermal power generation capacity and a higher availability of French nuclear energy were also factors affecting prices.

The price of French baseload electricity for Thursday was 39 euros ($45.41 per megawatt-hour) at 0745 GMT. This is 31.6% less than the previous night's closing price.

The German equivalent contract has not been traded for the second consecutive session, and its closing price was 84.5 Euro/MWh.

The French nuclear capacity has increased by two percentage points in the last 24 hours, to 75%.

LSEG data indicated that the German wind power production was expected to increase by 4.2 gigawatts on Thursday to 12.8 GW and French wind power was projected to grow by 2.4 GW to 6.8 GW.

Data also indicated that a lower solar output in Germany was likely, surpassing a probable gain in France.

On the day ahead, it was expected that power demand in Germany would drop by 900 MW, to reach 52.1 GW, and in France, to increase by 200 MW, to 41.4 GW.

The German baseload contract for the year ahead increased by 0.5% to 83.7 83.7 Euros/MWh, while its French counterpart was offered at 60.6 Euros after closing at 60.4.

The benchmark contract on the European carbon markets was virtually unchanged, at 71.17 Euros per ton.

Analysts at ICIS said that European gas storage is currently at 74% and was expected to reach 79% at the end of August. They viewed this as a sign of resilience before winter.

ICIS's monthly outlook note commented on wholesale electricity, stating that a premium for weather risk is built into the September prices. This is mainly due to low wind scenarios.

(source: Reuters)