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Asian shares up, dollar firms as rate cut wagers fade

Asian stocks increased on Tuesday and the dollar firmed, keeping the yen pinned near the 152perdollar levels that has traders fretted about possible intervention, as expectations that the Federal Reserve was close to cutting rate of interest faded.

Data on Monday revealed U.S. manufacturing grew for the very first time in 1-1/2 years in March as production rebounded greatly and new orders increased, highlighting the strength of the economy and calling into question the timing of Fed rate cuts.

The robust production data sent yields on U.S. Treasuries higher, with 10-year and two-year yields climbing to two-week peaks, enhancing the dollar.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was 0.65% higher, while Japan's Nikkei reclaimed the 40,000 points mark and was last up 0.41%.

The yen was last at 151.715 per dollar, not too far from the 34-year low of 151.975 it touched recently, with traders keenly watching for hints of intervention from Japanese authorities.

The continued run of robust U.S. data is making the lives of Japanese currency officials trying to support the yen progressively unpleasant, said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG.

It likewise means that a smoothing occasion (physical. intervention) is unlikely to occur up until after the 152.00 level. breaks.

Tokyo intervened in the currency market in 2022, first in. September and again in October, as the yen slid toward 152 to. the dollar, levels last seen in 1990.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Tuesday. that authorities were all set to take suitable action versus. extreme currency market volatility, without dismissing any. choices.

Chinese stocks were combined, with the blue chip index. mainly flat while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index. was up more than 2%, capturing gains as the financial hub. reopened after a public vacation on Monday.

China stocks logged their most significant everyday gain in a month on. Monday, after the current production activity information signalled. that the economy's healing is getting traction.

Overnight, S&P 500 began the first session of. the 2nd quarter on a peaceful note, weighed by concerns over the. timing of rates of interest cuts after stronger-than-expected. producing data pushed Treasury yields higher. The index had. clocked the greatest first quarter portion gain in five years.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes reduced 2.4. basis indicate 4.305% in Asian hours, having actually touched a 2 week. high of 4.337% in the previous session.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which usually. relocations in action with rate of interest expectations, slipped 2.5 basis. points to 4.693% on Tuesday, not far from the near two-week high. of 4.726% touched in the previous session.

The elevated yields broadly raised the dollar, with the euro. down 0.11% to $1.0731 and sterling last at. $ 1.2541, down 0.07% on the day.

Versus a basket of currencies, the dollar was 0.038%. greater at 105.05, just shy of the four-and-a-half month high of. 105.07 it touched on Monday after the stronger-than-expected. information.

Markets are now pricing in a 61% chance of the Fed cutting. rates in June, compared to 70% a week previously, according to. CME FedWatch Tool. They are likewise pricing in 68 basis points of. cuts this year, lower than the 75 basis points they forecasted. last week.

Markets might have over-reacted to the blowout ISM. manufacturing numbers, considering the Fed chair Powell's. persistence on dialing back policy restraint later this year,. said Nicholas Chia, Asia macro strategist at Requirement Chartered.

If core PCE inflation reduces to 2.5% -2.6% by the June. meeting, rate cuts could be in play which open the door to moderate. USD weak point. The threat is that the Fed fails to reach unanimity. on cuts, providing another upper hand to US yields and the USD.

In products, U.S. crude rose 0.3% to $83.96 per. barrel and Brent was at $87.72, up 0.34% on the day,. aided by indications of better demand and rising Middle East. tensions.

Spot gold reduced 0.1% to $2,248 per ounce, after. striking an all-time high of $2,265.49 on Monday.

(source: Reuters)