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Officials say that six people have been killed in three different areas by Russian attacks
Regional officials reported that six people were killed in three different regions of Ukraine by Russian attacks on Friday. Three people were killed in the southeastern Dnipropetrovsk Region by more than 50 strikes, including bombings and artillery. Two of these attacks took place near Nikopol, which is a town located on the other side of the Dnipro River, opposite the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, held by Russia. Oleksandr Hanzha, regional governor of the region, said on Telegram that 12 people were injured. Ivan Fedorov, regional governor, said that two people were killed by a strike in the northeast, on the city Zaporizhzhia. This is a target of deadly attacks which has been frequented recently. Seventeen people were ?hurt. Oleh Hryhorov, regional governor, said that in Sumy, a city near the Russian border where Russian forces have launched glide bombs on the city, a person has been killed. Russian forces have been trying to create a buffer zone for a long time. Prosecutors said earlier that a Russian drone attack overnight on a home?in the northern part of Sumy Region killed four. Could not independently verify the accounts. Kyiv observed a national day of mourning a day after the Russian'missile and drone attacks? killed at least 30 people in the city. This was the deadliest attack on the capital this year. (Reporting and editing by PhilippaFletcher; OleksandrKozhukhar, Ron Popeski)
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Keiko Fujimori declared winner of Peru presidential race
The country's electoral office declared Keiko Fujimori the winner of the Peruvian presidential race on Friday, after weeks of contests, protests, and allegations of fraud. Fujimori, in her fourth attempt at the presidency, won the runoff on June 7, with 50.135%. This was just 50,000 votes ahead of Senator Roberto Sanchez, who received 49.865%. This narrow margin reverses the narrow defeat Fujimori experienced in 2021 when she was defeated by former leftist president Pedro Castillo. Castillo, who tried to dissolve Congress in the year 2022, was impeached by Congress and sent to jail. Sanchez, seen as Castillo’s political successor, has said that he won't recognize Fujimori’s government, despite claiming electoral fraud without evidence. Sanchez was boosted by rural voters in Peru and won the race by a small margin. He led protest marches and filed a complaint with the Inter-American commission on Human Rights challenging the election. Fujimori, on the other hand, was boosted by the voters of Lima's capital and she also won the overseas votes by a large margin. This helped her win. The long, tight race highlighted the deep polarization of the country and the political turmoil which has led to the oustings of several presidents in the past decade. The right-wing leaders have praised the victory of Fujimori. When she takes office on July 28th, Fujimori will be the 10th President to assume power since 2016. She will replace interim president Jose Balcazar who was appointed in February following a series dismissals of presidents over allegations of corruption and abuse of power. Fujimori's victory reaffirms Latin America’s shift to the right. Other conservative leaders from the region, including Argentina's Javier Milei and Chile's Jose Antonio Kast, as well as El Salvador's Nayib Bukele, have congratulated her. In a Tuesday statement, U.S. Secretary Marco Rubio congratulated Fujimori, saying the Trump administration is looking forward to enhancing cooperation in security, trade, and investment. The markets were also pleased with her victory, as they had been shaken by the prospect that Sanchez would win. Moody's released a report on Thursday stating that a Fujimori-led government would preserve policy continuity, boost investor confidence and help sustain the country's growth. This could be a way to unlock mining projects that have been delayed in Peru. Peru is the world's third largest copper producer. A DIVISIVE DYNASTY Fujimori is 51 years old and the daughter of the late President Alberto Fujimori. Alberto Fujimori ruled Peru with an iron hand from 1990 to 2000, and was credited for defeating Maoist rebels and taming hyperinflation. The Fujimoris remain a controversial family in Peru. Alberto spent 16 years behind bars for human rights violations?and Keiko was investigated over allegations of campaign financing, which were dropped in the last year. She spent nearly a year-and-a-half in prison during two pretrial detentions between 2018 and 2020. Fujimori will now have to unite a polarized nation with a Congress that is prone of removing presidents. The country is also faced with a 'vast economic divide' between Lima, the capital city, and rural areas where protests and clashes occurred after Castillo left office. Over 60 people died in these areas. These areas were also the bastion of Sanchez's support, and his party, Together for Peru holds the second largest bloc in Congress, with Fujimori party having the most seats.
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Fermi CEO Neugebauer suspends proxy campaign after judge's recusal
Toby Neugebauer is the co-founder of Fermi and the largest shareholder. He announced on Friday that he had'suspended' his proxy campaign to call a special general meeting. This was after a Texas Business Court Judge recused himself just before an upcoming hearing disrupted the schedule for a strategic review. Neugebauer stated that more than 70% of votes cast to date supported a special meeting. However, the judicial delays made it impossible for new directors to be seated in time to oversee "a true dual-track process" to meet the financial and leasing requirements of the company. Please see below for more details. Neugebauer has said that he will continue to press the court for a ruling on Fermi’s supermajority of 70% bylaw. He has criticised this measure as an entrenchment measure. He said that Glass Lewis and Egan Jones had both endorsed the?proxy campaign. * He said that he was confident Fermi - which supplies power to data centers amid a boom in artificial intelligence - could secure the tenant 'group', provided talks were held with the same parties as before he left. (Reporting by Puyaan Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Matthew Lewis)
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Portugal seeks support from the EU, Spain and Morocco as wildfire risks rise
Luis Montenegro, the Prime Minister of Portugal, said on Friday that Portugal had asked the EU and Morocco for extra firefighting aircraft in case wildfires grew during the current heatwave. He explained that the unusual decision was not prompted by a lack of resources but rather by an "exceptional" situation in the near future, when "the entire country faces a high risk of wildfires." He told a press conference that it was better to have support from our EU allies, and neighbours, than divert resources away from the parts of the country they were currently deployed in. This is why Lisbon activated EU Civil Protection Mechanism as well as bilateral agreements with Spain. IPMA has issued a red weather warning for parts of Portugal, where temperatures are exceeding 40 degrees Celsius. Portugal's mainland is in a state-of-alert until Monday evening. Authorities have restricted access to some forest areas and banned forestry work with machinery. Farmers are also prohibited from carrying out controlled burns. Civil protection authorities reported that more than 2,800 firefighters were fighting six wildfires in?Portugal, with 864 vehicles, 32 aircraft and other support. The?largest fire was burning in Viseu district, central Portugal. (Reporting and editing by William Maclean; Sergio Goncalves)
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Americans still hit the road for July 4th despite high gas prices
The Americans are preparing for the Fourth of July, despite gasoline prices that are still high and well above their historical averages. The ease of tensions between?U.S. The easing of tensions between the?U.S. Despite recent drops, this weekend motorists will pay the second highest Independence Day fuel prices in history. Last week, the price-tracking service GasBuddy predicted that the average gasoline price in the United States would be $3.75 per gallon by July 4. This is behind the record $4.80 per liter set on July 4th 2022. GasBuddy reports that the national average gasoline price was $3.772 per gallon on Friday. This is up 62.7 cents compared to last year. The declines occurred despite a turbulent and violent week in which the U.S. and Iran exchanged new attacks before agreeing to cease hostilities on Sunday. GasBuddy predicts that the national average price will continue to fall this week. However, the situation is anything but predictable, according to Patrick De Haan's weekly note. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has asked gasoline retailers to lower prices more aggressively. He argues that prices have not fallen far enough since tanker shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was resumed last week. Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, reiterated Trump's message on Tuesday to gasoline retailers. He urged them to lower their prices in light of the U.S. The United States celebrates its 250th anniversary. AAA, the motorists' group, expects that 72.2 million Americans will travel at least fifty miles away from their homes. The number of travelers for the Independence Day holiday will surpass last year's record, which was 71.8 million. The number of people driving or flying to their destination is expected to remain relatively flat in comparison to last year as other travel modes such as cruises become more popular. AAA said that 61.4 million people are expected to drive, while 5.85 million will fly, and 4.93 millions to take the bus, train, or cruise ships. "I believe that Americans will follow through on their plans for summer vacations. ... Denton Cinquegrana is the chief oil analyst for Dow Jones Energy. The EIA reported on Wednesday that U.S. gasoline supply, which is a proxy of demand, increased by 356,000 barrels a day before the holiday weekend, to 9.13 million barrels a day last week. This compares with 8.64 million bpd at the same time last season. Fuel balances could continue to tighten in key U.S. market as stocks on the U.S. Gulf Coast are 'well below normal.' Gasoline prices may remain high if this trend continues. Unplanned refinery shutdowns, such as those in Russia and Mexico, could also cause a disruption of supply, reversing recent price drops. Gasoline stocks fell by 2.3 millions barrels to 214,000,000 barrels in the last week. Stocks along the U.S. Gulf Coast also fell to 76.48million barrels, the lowest level since October 2024. Cinquegrana stated that "that (Gulf Coast Inventory Level) is probably more worrying from a supply perspective than the U.S. having a current deficit." The Gulf Coast refineries account for over 55% of the total U.S. refueling capacity. They are also a major supplier of fuel and exporter to other regions. EIA data show that the overall U.S. gasoline stocks were around 213,97 million barrels during the week ending June 26. This is roughly 8% less than they were at the same point last year.
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Americans still hit the road on July 4th despite high gas prices
The Fourth of July holiday is fast approaching and Americans are not deterred by the high gasoline prices. They remain well above historical levels. Fuel prices have been lowered by the easing of tensions in the U.S.-Iran relationship. This is due to fears of disruptions of oil shipments across Strait of Hormuz. The price of gasoline is expected to be the second highest ever for Independence Day this weekend, despite recent drops. GasBuddy, a price-tracking service, predicted last week that the average gasoline price in the United States would be $3.75 per gallons on July 4. This is behind only the record $4.80 a gallon set on July 4th 2022. GasBuddy reports that the national average gasoline price was $3.79 per galon on Thursday. This is 63 cents higher than last year's average. The declines occurred despite a turbulent and violent week in which the U.S. and Iran traded new attacks before agreeing to cease hostilities on Sunday. GasBuddy predicts that the national average price will continue to fall this week. However, the situation is anything but predictable," Patrick De Haan said in his GasBuddy weekly note. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has called on gasoline retailers to reduce prices more aggressively. He argues that prices haven't dropped enough since tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz was resumed last week. U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent reiterated Trump's message on Tuesday to gasoline retailers, urging the to?lower their prices as the U.S. is celebrating its?250th anniversary. AAA, the motorists' group, expects that 72.2 million Americans will travel at least fifty miles away from their homes. The number of travelers for the Independence Day holiday will surpass last year's record, which was 71.8 million. The number of people driving or flying to their destination is expected to remain relatively flat in comparison to last year as other modes such as cruises become more popular. AAA predicts that 61.4 million Americans will drive, while 5.85 million others are likely to fly, and another 4.93 millions are likely to travel by bus or train. "I believe that Americans will follow through on their plans for summer vacations. ... Denton Cinquegrana is the chief oil analyst for Dow Jones Energy. He said, "I'm not changing anything, I'll figure out next week." The EIA reported on Wednesday that the U.S. gasoline supply, which is a proxy of demand, increased by 356,000 barrels a day before the holiday weekend, to 9.13 millions bpd, up from 8.64 million last year. Fuel balances could continue to tighten in key U.S. market as stocks on the U.S. Gulf Coast are well below normal. Unplanned refinery shutdowns, such as those in Russia and Mexico, or the approaching Atlantic Hurricane Season could also cause a reversal of recent price drops. Gasoline inventories dropped by 2.3 millions barrels in the past week, to 214,000,000 barrels. Stocks along the U.S. Gulf Coast also fell to 76.48million barrels, the lowest level since October 2024. Cinquegrana said that "that (the Gulf?Coast stock level) is likely more concerning than the U.S. having the current deficit." The Gulf Coast refineries account for over 55% of the total U.S. refueling capacity. They are also a major exporter and supplier of fuel. EIA data show that the overall U.S. gasoline stocks were around 213,97 million barrels during the week ending June 26. This is roughly 8% less than they were at the same point last year.
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The US jobs data changes the rate outlook
Global stocks reached their best performance in the past two months after a lukewarm U.S. employment report dampened expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve. This slowed down?the dollar and gave gold an extra boost. STOXX 600 in Europe hit another record and traded up 0.6% last time, heading for a gain of 2.6% per week, its highest since mid-May. The broadest MSCI index of world stocks rose by 0.4%. It is expected to gain 2% in the coming week, which would be the highest increase in two months. The tech-lite European indexes are in high demand again. This is even more true given that their stocks trade at a lower price-to earnings ratio than the ones typically seen in the U.S. Investors favored financials, healthcare, and other shares as they lowered the price of AI-related companies and semiconductor stocks on Wall Street. On Friday, the chip stocks in Asia rebounded, pushing Tokyo's Nikkei up by 1.5% and South Korea's KOSPI, which is volatile, by about 6%. The Purchasing Managers' Index released on Friday showed increased activity in major Asian economies. Japan's service sector resumed growth in June, after stagnating the previous month. China's services sector expanded at a slower rate, but the overseas demand increased at its fastest pace in 20 months. Capital Economics analysts said that the Chinese PMIs were still healthy by recent standards, and imply a stronger economic growth in Q2. U.S. LABOUR MARKET COOLING U.S. jobs growth slowed in June, and payroll gains from the previous two months were revised down, according to new data released Thursday. This indicates a cooling of the labour market. The lackluster jobs data dampened traders' expectations for an imminent rate increase and increased the likelihood that the Fed would keep rates on hold through October. FedWatch, an online tool from CME Group, shows that Fed funds futures price a 46.8% implied probability of the U.S. Central Bank keeping rates unchanged at its meeting on September 15-16. This is compared to 35.8% a day before. Gold prices rose by 1% this week to $4,160 per ounce, its highest level since May. Inflation is still a major concern. James Rossiter is the head of global economics at TD Securities. He said that shipping was "our biggest risk for this year even before Iran war". He said that the closure of the Hormuz Strait had caused ships to be rerouted around the globe, resulting in a reduction of shipping capacity. The price effects were still being felt by the global economy. U.S. Futures increased, reflecting the positive tone elsewhere. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq Futures both rose by 0.3% and 1.2%, respectively. The U.S. Market is closed for Independence Day on Friday. The dollar, after reaching its highest level against a basket major currencies in the past year, took a break on Friday. The euro was up by 0.1% to $1.144 while the pound remained steady at $1.335. The dollar was stable at 161 yen this week. This is the weakest yen in 40 years. According to an exclusive published on Thursday, the few traders present on Friday were on alert for any signs of official purchases by Tokyo authorities. They may have adopted a different approach to their forays in the market. Brent crude oil futures increased 0.45% to $71.12. (Reporting and editing by Nell Mackenzie, Gregor Stuart Hunter, Jan Harvey and Rod Nickel;
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Poland's KGHM announces $8.55 billion investment program
KGHM, the state-controlled copper producer and silver producer in Poland, announced a 'new strategy' on?Friday. The company committed to investing more than 32?billion zlotys (US$8.55 billion) through the end decade and set new targets for output and profits. The "Strategy 2055+" plan targets an average adjusted core profit of?12billion zlotys per year, measured by earnings before interest taxes depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), as well as a paid copper production of 730,000 tons and a silver production of 1,290 tonnes, between 2026 to 2030. Remigiusz Pazkiewicz, Chief Executive of KGHM, said that the company aims to become a multi-raw materials industrial group by 2035. The company plans to build a "KGHM 2.0", a new mine in Poland. This plan reflects KGHM’s?effort to secure ore smelters closer to their Polish smelters?and to reduce logistics costs. About 80% of the company's copper production will come from its domestic assets. The rest will be from mines overseas. In addition, the strategy places a renewed emphasis on overseas operations. KGHM stated that nearly 80% of the planned investment will go to the core Polish business. The rest is allocated to assets located in Chile, the 'U.S. Canada and Chile. The Sierra Gorda mine, where KGHM holds a '55% stake in the company, and the Robinson Mine in Nevada, contributed to 48% of KGHM's EBITDA in 2025. Anna Sobieraj Kozakiewicz, Deputy Chief Executive of Foreign Assets said: "We want the position of our assets abroad to grow because it builds global credibility and resilience to structural change." She said that the company will seek out new opportunities on the basis of efficiency analysis.
Brent Oil Curve continues to decline as a glut of supply overwhelms the market
Brent crude for "prompt" delivery traded below contracts that were due to be delivered up to six months in the future this week, the latest indication that increased shipments through Strait of Hormuz has caused a glut near-term. On Friday, the first-month Brent futures contract for September traded below the five subsequent contract months. Last week it was trading at a discount to the second contract month.
Brent Spreads for the Six-Month Period
David Jorbenaze, ICIS' global oil markets leader, said that the newly released crude was chasing a demand that had already been met and reduced.
STORAGE OR NON-STORAGE
A contango market is a good way to encourage traders to keep barrels in storage and then sell them at higher prices later. Storage could offer some relief to sellers who are competing to sell their barrels on a weak physical market for oil, and also help replenish inventories after the heavy drawdowns that occurred during the supply crisis related to the Iran War.
Nitesh Shah is a commodity strategist with WisdomTree. He said that Contango encourages storage and it doesn't require much incentive because the inventories were already depleted in the war years.
According to a European crude oil trader, storage plays are profitable if contango is high enough to cover the associated financing and storage fees. These could be between 80 cents and $1 per barrel for companies without their tanks.
Bjarne Shieldrop, SEB analyst, said that whether a?contango' deepens, or is merely a temporary phenomenon, depends on if demand in Asia begins to pick back up. He added that storage will be limited due to the mild contango.
(source: Reuters)