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Investors focus on progress in US-Iran negotiations as stocks climb and yields fall

Investors weighed the chances of a deal to end the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran in the near future.

Oil prices have risen, but the Iran negotiations remain uncertain. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that the United States had seen some progress towards a deal with Iran but still needed more work. Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson stated that the differences between both sides were significant and deep.

The Pakistani military chief arrived at Tehran on Friday in order to continue his mediation efforts for a peaceful resolution of the conflict. Wall Street saw the Dow post a record-breaking closing high and the S&P 500 register an eighth consecutive week of gains. The booming demand for AI stocks has pushed the stock market higher, despite concerns over economic fallout. European shares closed at their highest level in more than a week and posted their largest weekly gain since seven. "You are starting to see an increasing negative correlation between stock prices and bond yields," said Anthony Saglimbene. Chief market strategist at Ameriprise.

Now that earnings season is over, macro-conditions may play a larger role.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes dropped 2.6 basis points, to?4.558% from 4,584% at late Thursday. The sell-off that began the week led to yields reaching months-or-years-long highs. On Tuesday, the yield for the 10-year note reached its highest level since January 2025.

Investors worry that the ongoing disruptions in energy supply due to the conflict could affect core consumer prices and force a tightening of monetary policy.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 294.04 points or 0.58% to 50,579.70. The S&P 500 rose 27.75 points or 0.37% to 7,473.47. And the Nasdaq Composite gained 50.87 points or 0.19% to 26,343.97.

MSCI's global index of stocks rose by 5.66 points or 0.51% to 1,112.55. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.73% thanks to technology stocks.

Turkey's financial market?rebounded this week after being roiled by political moves made against the country’s main opposition. The BIST 100 index, the benchmark in Istanbul, rose by 4.9% after it fell 6% on Thursday. This was triggered by a court order to remove main opposition leader Ozgur Ozel.

Oil up, U.S. Consumer Sentiment Down Investors also digested an?survey that showed U.S. Consumer sentiment plummeted?to a new record low in may as surging gas prices fuelled anxieties over worsening affordability.

Oil prices finished higher. U.S. crude oil rose 25 cents, settling at $96.60 per barrel. Brent gained 96 cents, settling at $103.54.

As traders watched the talks about the war, they also assessed whether the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in the event of inflation continuing to rise.

Kevin Warsh became the Fed's chair on Friday. The dollar index (which measures the greenback against a basket including the yen,?the euro and other currencies) rose by 0.04% on Friday to 99.24. Meanwhile, the euro fell?0.06%, at $1.1611.

The dollar gained 0.11% against the Japanese yen to reach 159.13.

Data released on Friday revealed that Japan's core rate of inflation fell to its lowest level in four years in April. This complicates the outlook for Bank of Japan policies.

Spot gold dropped 0.78%, to $4,606.47 an ounce.

(source: Reuters)