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Oil prices rise 1% following fire at US refinery. Set to end four-session loss streak

After four consecutive sessions of declines, oil prices rose by 1% on Friday following a fire at one of the biggest refineries in the U.S. West Coast. However, they were still on course for their steepest week-long fall since late June.

Brent crude futures rose 61 cents or 1% to $64.73 per barrel at 0658 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude climbed by 62 Cents, or 1% to $61.10 per barrel.

According to a county official, the fire was contained to just one area at Chevron’s El Segundo Refinery.

The U.S. Energy Major also reported a flare-up emergency at its 290,000 BPD refinery that produces primarily gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel.

Brent traded 7.6% lower and WTI fell 7% weekly due to expectations that OPEC+ could increase output despite concerns about oversupply.

Sources told The Week that OPEC+ may agree to increase oil production in November by as much as 500,000 barrels a day, which is triple the October increase, because Saudi Arabia wants to regain market share.

Tony Sycamore is an analyst with IG. He said, "If OPEC+ announces a 500,000 bpd hike this weekend, that's likely to be a large enough increase to send crude back down, first to the support level of $58.00 before testing this year's lowest levels (of about $55.00)."

Analysts say that a potential increase in OPEC+ oil supply, a slowdown in global crude refinery operations due to maintenance, and upcoming seasonal drops in demand will accelerate the buildup of oil stocks in the U.S.

Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday that U.S. crude, gasoline, and distillate inventory rose last week due to a decline in refining and demand.

JPMorgan analysts wrote in a report that they believe September was a turning-point, and the oil market is now headed towards a large surplus in Q4 of 2025 as well as next year.

The Group of Seven finance ministers announced on Wednesday that they would increase pressure on Russia, targeting those countries who continue to buy Russian oil. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed; Jacqueline Wong, Mrigank Dhaniwala, and Sudarshan Varadhan)

(source: Reuters)