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Oil prices to drop by a weekly average with tariffs and legal battles in focus, OPEC+

The oil price is expected to drop more than 1% this Friday due to the U.S. tariff rulings and the potential OPEC+ production increase.

Brent crude futures fell 26 cents or 0.41% to $63.89 per barrel at 0104 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude fell 27 cents or 0.44% to $60.67 per barrel. Brent's July futures contract expires on Friday.

The tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump in the U.S. will remain in place after a federal court of appeals temporarily reinstated them Thursday. This reverses a decision made on Wednesday by a trade court to block the most comprehensive duties.

As traders assessed its impact, the block sent oil prices down more than 1%. Analysts predicted that uncertainty would continue as tariff battles made their way through court systems.

OPEC+ members, a group of oil exporting countries and their allies, will meet on Saturday to discuss a possible increase in July's oil production.

OPEC is also trying to get some countries, like Kazakhstan, that are producing more than their agreed-upon levels, to reduce their output.

Robert Rennie, Westpac's director of commodity and carbon analysis, said in a recent note that "the standoff between OPEC & Kazakhstan became more evident this week".

According to a report published by Interfax on Thursday, citing Kazakhstan’s deputy energy minister, the country has told OPEC it doesn’t intend to cut its oil production.

The Kazakhstani energy minister dismissed on Thursday the complaints of other countries about Kazakhstan's excessive production. He said that Kazakhstan's share in world oil production was less than 2%, and that a price for crude oil above $75 per barrel would be acceptable to all countries.

Rennie stated that the stage was set for a bumper increase in production, possibly higher than the 411,000 barrels a day decision made at the two previous meetings. (Reporting and editing by Colleen Waye)

(source: Reuters)