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US futures rise on China trade talks

U.S. stocks futures rose and Asian currencies rose as investors welcomed the news that a top-level meeting between U.S. officials and Chinese officials is scheduled for this weekend in Switzerland. This could be a chance to calm down the trade conflict.

Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, said on Fox News that he believes the goal is to de-escalate.

S&P futures gained about 0.9%. This was a recovery from a drop in the cash session, when U.S. president Donald Trump seemed to have struck a more confrontational note.

The stock markets of Japan and Australia have both edged up.

The dollar increased a bit against the yen, but declined against other Asian currencies. The offshore yuan is close to reaching a six-month-high and the Australian Dollar has reached a five month-high and just above 65 U.S. Cents.

Ray Attrill, head of Foreign Exchange Research at National Australia Bank, said: "It seems that both sides are willing to reach out and meet on a high-level. I wouldn't have thought it could be anything other than positive."

It's positive for Asian foreign exchange in general.

Asian currencies have been gaining on the dollar lately, led by a flying Taiwan Dollar, on speculations that a weaker greenback is part of Trump’s trade agenda, and as large investors reduce their dollar positions built up over years of purchasing U.S. assets.

Gold dropped 1%, while oil rose 1%. Benchmark 10-year Treasury rates remained at 4.3238%.

Later on Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve will meet to set interest rate cuts.

The markets indicate that there is almost no chance for a move to be made on Wednesday, and only 33% of a reduction in June. This is down from 64% one month ago.

India and Pakistan are nuclear-armed neighbors and the fighting has been intense for more than 20 years. India fired gunfire and shells over the border in Kashmir, while India also hit targets in Pakistan.

Attrill of NAB said that it would add another layer to the geopolitical tensions and likely cause India's currency to fall.

The euro was supported above $1.13, with German conservative leader Friedrich Merz being elected chancellor after his alliance with Social Democrats suffered a shock defeat in the initial round.

(source: Reuters)