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The biggest weekly oil drop since October due to tariff uncertainty and supply gains

The oil price was little changed on Friday, but is set to have its biggest weekly drop since October due to the uncertainty surrounding U.S. Tariff policy creating concern about the growth of demand at the same time that major producers are planning to increase their output.

Brent futures were up 17 cents or 0.24% to $69.63 per barrel at 0315 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Futures rose 12 Cents, or 0.1%, to $66.48 per barrel.

Brent, however, is set to drop 4.9% this week, its largest weekly decline since October 14. WTI will also drop by 4.8% this week, which is its largest weekly decline since the week of October 14.

The U.S. trade policy, which is the largest oil consumer in the world, has caused a whipsawing effect on the oil markets.

Vandana Insights, a provider of oil market analyses, said: "It appears that the financial markets have entered a panic mode. They are no longer easily calmed by Trump's postponements for one month and exemptions from import tariffs."

She added, "Crude is now stuck at four-month lows. It's vulnerable to further declines."

The U.S. president Donald Trump has suspended 25% tariffs on the majority of goods imported from Canada and Mexico, until April 2. However, steel and aluminum tariffs will still be in effect as planned on March 12.

The amended order doesn't cover all Canadian energy products. These are subject to a separate 10% tax.

Tariffs are seen as a hindrance to economic growth, and by extension the growth of oil demand. The uncertainty surrounding the policy also impacts the economy.

The BMI research unit of Fitch said that the risks for oil prices are still to the downside, as new supply from OPEC+ producers and non-OPEC ones is expected to push the markets well into oversupply.

Brent prices fell on Wednesday to their lowest level since December 2021, after U.S. crude stocks rose, and following the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) decision to increase its output quotas.

The group announced on Monday it would proceed with its planned increase in April production, which will add 138,000 barrels of oil per day to market.

As the U.S. considers steps to halt Iran's exports, some of the downward pressure on prices has ebbed.

In his first major address to Wall Street executives, U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent stated that "we are going to shut Iran's oil industry and drone manufacturing capability."

Sources told Reuters on Thursday that Trump was considering a plan for inspecting Iranian oil tanks at sea, using an agreement aimed at weapons or mass destruction. This is part of his "maximum" pressure to reduce Iranian oil exports to zero. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger, Sonali Paul and Mohi Nrayan)

(source: Reuters)