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Oil rates fall on need concerns, strong dollar

Oil prices fell in early trading on Friday on stress over demand growth in 2025, especially in leading unrefined importer China, putting international oil benchmarks on track to end the week down more than 2%.

Brent crude futures fell by 31 cents, or 0.43%, to $ 72.57 a barrel by 0139 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 26 cents, or 0.26%, to $69.12 per barrel.

Chinese state-owned refiner Sinopec said in its annual energy outlook, launched on Thursday, that China's imports might peak as soon as 2025 and the nation's oil intake would peak by 2027 as diesel and gasoline need weaken.

The dollar's climb to a two-year high also weighed on oil prices, after the Federal Reserve flagged it would be cautious about cutting rate of interest in 2025.

A more powerful dollar makes oil more costly for holders of other currencies, while a slower rate of rate cuts might dampen economic development and trim oil need.

J.P. Morgan sees the oil market moving from balance in 2024 to a surplus of 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2025, as the bank forecasts non-OPEC+ development increasing by 1.8 million bpd in 2025 and OPEC output staying at present levels.

In a relocation that might pare supply, G7 countries are thinking about methods to tighten up the cost cap on Russian oil, such as with an outright restriction or by lowering the cost threshold, Bloomberg reported on Thursday. Russia has evaded the $60 per barrel cap imposed in 2022 utilizing its shadow fleet of ships, which the EU and Britain have targeted with additional sanctions in recent days.

(source: Reuters)