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J.P. Morgan sees Brent oil cost averaging $73 a barrel in 2025

J.P. Morgan sees the cost of Brent oil averaging $73 per barrel (/ bbl) in 2025 and expects it to close the year strongly listed below $70/bbl, with U.S. West Texas Intermediate at $64/bbl, the bank stated in a note on Friday.

Our view on 2025 has actually remained mainly the same over the past year: we look for a large 1.3 mbd (million barrels per day) surplus and a typical Brent of $73, the note stated.

The bank sees worldwide oil demand development slowing down from 1.3 mbd this year to 1.1 mbd next year, including that China is expected to lead oil need development for the last time before India takes the lead in 2026.

J.P. Morgan likewise said that large surpluses will drive Brent rates listed below $60 by the end of 2026, with a typical Brent projection of $61/bbl and $57/bbl for West Texas Intermediate oil.

It included that these projections presume that OPEC+ keeps its present production levels.

Brent unrefined futures were trading near $74.56 a. barrel on Friday, while U.S. WTI crude futures were at. $ 70.37 per barrel.

Weak oil supply-demand principles might assist U.S. President-elect Donald Trump keep his guarantee to lower oil. costs, the bank noted.

Trump's energy agenda provides drawback dangers to oil costs. from deregulation and increased U.S. production, while also. posing upside risks by exerting pressure on Iran, Venezuela, and. potentially Russia to restrict their oil exports and incomes..

(source: Reuters)