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China's oil imports in 2025 and December inflows are both at record levels
China's crude imports increased 17% in December compared to a year earlier, and total imports for 2025 will rise 4.4%. The daily volumes of crude oil imported in December 2025 and throughout the year will be at all-time records. According to the General Administration of Customs, the world's biggest crude importer imported 55.97 millions metric tons of petroleum in December. This is equivalent to 13,18 million barrels of oil per day. The increase was 10% compared to 50.89 in November. The data shows that China will import 557.73 millions tons of crude oil by 2025 or 11,55?million barrels per day, an increase of 4.4% over the previous year. According to Kpler, an independent consultancy, the increase in crude oil imports is due to a stronger crude?throughput, and a firmer demand for restocking. The consultancy said that China's oil output is expected to increase by 0.7% in 2025. According to Rystad Energy, the average stockbuild in 2025 will be 430,000 bpd. This is up from 84,000 in 2024. Half of this growth is due to new storage capacity by both state-owned companies and independent ones. Ye Lin, vice-president at Rystad energy, said that "energy security is the main?driver" of China's stockpiling in light of rising geopolitical tensions. Low oil prices are also important, since the average crude price in China is $10 per barrel less than it was in 2024 due to sanctions. Kpler, and the ship-tracking company Vortexa, both estimated that seaborne crude imports reached a record high of 12 million barrels per day in December. Lower oil prices encouraged refiners to increase purchases, while strategic-petroleum-reserve restocking may also have played a role, said Muyu Xu, an analyst at Kpler. Xu said that independent refiners had been able to buy more spot cargoes since receiving their import quota allocations for November. Kpler, Vortexa and Kpler said that onshore crude inventories increased by 35 million barrels during December. Kpler also added that China’s?onshore oil inventories hit a record of 1.206 billion in late December or early January. Vortexa reported that more than 12 million barrels of new stock were built in December, mostly at state-owned facilities connected to Sinopec Maoming refinery and PetroChina Jieyang, Vortexa stated. In Shandong, nearly 15 million barrels were accumulated. Vortexa said that this was in line with the record-high sanctioned oil imports to Shandong between November and December. As a result of increased Russian supplies, some Iranian barrels were replaced by Russian oil in December. This was reported by Emma Li, a Vortexa analyst. China's imports of natural gas, including pipeline gas as well as liquefied gas (LNG), jumped 16.3% in December compared to a year ago. They now total 13.45 million tonnes. Customs data show that gas imports for 2025 will total 127.87 millions tons, down by 2.8% compared to a year ago.
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China imports iron ore and steel at record levels
Iron ore futures rose on Wednesday as China reported record steel exports and its highest-ever monthly imports. As of 0326 GMT, the most-traded contract for May iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was up 0.49% at 824.5 Yuan ($118.17). The benchmark iron ore for February on the Singapore Exchange rose 0.29% to $108.65 per?ton. Data from the General Administration of Customs revealed that China's steel imports reached a monthly record high in December, fueled by front-loading, prompted?by Beijing’s announcement of requiring export licenses for shipments starting 2026. Imports of iron ore?also reached a record in December, as well as last season,?as mills were encouraged to order more cargoes by low inventories and better steel margins. Atilla Winnel, Navigate Commodities' managing director, said that the mills had begun to replenish their steel stocks ahead of Chinese New Year. He said that such bullish conditions would continue until the Lunar New Year. Analysts said that high iron ore costs, combined with shrinking margins at steel mills, could cause buyers to delay restocking their stock until there is a correction. Coking coal and coke both fell by 0.66% and 0.2% respectively. The benchmark steel prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange have gained ground. The Shanghai Futures Exchange saw a rise in steel benchmarks. ($1 = 6.9771 yuan) (Reporting by Ruth Chai; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)
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Silver cracks $90 on Fed rate-cut bets. Gold nears record highs.
Silver surpassed the $90 mark for the first time, and gold climbed to a near record high. Weaker-than-expected U.S. readings of inflation fueled bets that interest rates will soon drop amid geopolitical uncertainties. As of 0406 GMT the spot gold price rose by 0.9%, to $4,627.95 an ounce, after hitting a record $4,634.33 per ounce on Tuesday. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery? rose 0.8% to $4635.60. Spot silver rose 4.6% to $90.95 per ounce, after breaking $90 for first time. Brian Lan, GoldSilver's Central managing director, said that the data was positive. The inflation rate and unemployment rate in the U.S. were both lower. These are the factors which have driven precious metals higher. Lan said that silver's next major milestone is $100 and high percentage gains of two-digits are expected this year. The U.S. Consumer Price Index core rose by 0.2% on a month-to-month basis and 2.6% annually in December. This was below analysts' expectations for 0.3% and 2.7% increases, respectively. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, welcomed the inflation numbers and reiterated his call for Jerome Powell, the U.S. Federal Reserve?chair to reduce interest rates "meaningfully." Powell was backed by the top Wall Street bankers and global central bankers on?Tuesday, after former Fed?chiefs condemned Trump's decision to probe him. Analysts claim that concerns about Fed independence and the trust in U.S. asset prices contributed to demand for yellow metal as a safe haven. Investors anticipate two rate cuts of 25 basis points this year. The earliest is expected to be in June. In a low interest rate environment, and in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, non-yielding investments tend to perform well. Trump, meanwhile, urged Iranians protesters to continue, saying that 'help will be on its way' as Iran witnessed its largest demonstrations in many years. Other than that, the spot price of platinum rose 4.7%, to $2,432.80 an ounce. This is a new high for a week. It hit a record $2,478.50/oz on December 29. Palladium rose 3.7% to $1,910.08 an ounce. (Reporting and editing by Ishaan arora, Rashmi aich)
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'Are you dead?' Chinese app for singles goes viral
The app "Are You Dead" which targets lone-living people in China has become a viral hit. Its popularity and comments on social media have been widespread, leading the company to introduce a subscription charge and change the name of its product for a wider audience. Sileme is the Chinese name for "Are You Dead?" The app is called "Are you dead?" in English. It was created to be a "lightweight safety tool" for those who live alone, whether they are students, officers, or anyone else. App requires a single emergency contact and will send automatic notifications to the user if they have not checked into the app in a period of?consecutive?days. The Global Times reported that China could have as many as 200 million single-person households. Sileme announced on Tuesday, via its official Weibo account, that it will soon launch a new version of its global brand name Demumu. The app is called Demumu and is number two on Apple's chart of paid apps. It was at the top earlier this week. "Thanks for all the support from netizens. "We were initially a small unknown team, cofounded and operated by three born after 1994," said Sileme. The company announced on Sunday it will launch a payment scheme of eight yuan ($1.15) to cover rising costs. Demumu, an app available on Apple's App Store, already charged HK$8 for the download. Sileme's name was suggested by some social media users, such as Weibo. Others suggested "Are You Alive", "Are You Online" or "Are?You There." One user said that it was helpful for safety reasons. It will help us singles feel more comfortable in our daily lives. Reporting by Farah Masters; editing by Michael Perry.
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China's rare earth exports to 2025 are at their highest level since 2014, despite restrictions
China's rare-earth?exports reached their highest level in at least 2014 even though Beijing started?restricting?shipments of various medium to heavy elements starting April. Data from the General Administration of Customs revealed that the world's largest producer shipped out a total of 62.585 metric tons of this group of 17 components used in consumer electronics, automobiles, and defence equipments, with an increase of 12.9% annually. In April, China added magnets and seven heavy and medium rare earth elements to its export control list as a response to hefty U.S. duties. This led?to an abrupt drop in magnet exports in April & May. The shipments have gradually recovered since June, thanks to the agreements that were reached between China, the United States and Europe. Outbound shipments in December fell by 20% compared to the previous month, falling to 4,392 tonnes, as the overseas purchasing appetite declined following the build-up of stocks before the Christmas break. However, the December volume was 32% higher than the 3,326 tonnes in 2024. An analyst who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media said that many overseas buyers had booked more 'volumes' in November to prepare for the holiday last month. Exports in November increased by 26.5% compared to October. Reporting by Amy Lv & Lewis Jackson, Editing by Himani & Shri Navaratnam
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Copper reaches a record high, as concerns over supply outweigh dollar strength
The copper price rose to a record high on Wednesday as supply concerns overshadowed a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, tin prices also reached a record high due to speculative purchases amid a growing geopolitical unrest. After hitting a record high of 105,650 Yuan per metric tonne earlier in the morning, the most-traded contract for copper on the Shanghai Futures Exchange ended the morning session 1.68% higher, at 104970 yuan. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 1.55% to $13,367.5 a ton at?0340 GMT. This is a slight retreat from a record high of $13,400 per ton. Copper's resiliency in price is attributed to disruptions at the mines, concerns about deficits for this year and a?flow of copper into the U.S. before?potential tariffs which are reducing supply elsewhere. On Tuesday, U.S. president Donald Trump urged Iranians protesters to continue their protests and said that help was on its way. Analysts say that this has fueled concerns about geopolitical risk, which is why some investors are rushing to commodities like copper and tin with solid fundamentals. A stronger dollar has capped the price increases. It makes goods priced in greenbacks more expensive for buyers who use other currencies. The tin price in both the Shanghai and London stock exchanges has reached record levels. SHFE tin soared up to 8%, hitting the upper limit of 413 170 yuan. LME tin rose more than 5% at $52,495. SHFE aluminium increased by 1.12%. Nickel advanced by 1.47%. Lead rose 0.2%. Zinc increased 1.05%. Aluminium, nickel, and lead all rose in price on the LME. Zinc also rose by 1.22%.
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China's coal imports in December hit a record high despite a 10% drop on an annual basis
Customs data revealed that China's coal imports in December rose to a "record monthly high" due to winter stockpiling and rising domestic prices. According to the General Administration of Customs, imports in December reached a monthly record of 58.59?metric tons. This is a sharp rebound from'supply constraints caused by major exporters Indonesia Australia and Russia in November. Buyers stock up on coal in anticipation of the coldest months, when heating demand drives consumption higher. A government index also showed that domestic coal prices rose to nearly a year high by the end of November. This would have led buyers to seek out cheaper imported coal. The full-year imports of '2025 remained below the record high of 2024 because of lower shipments throughout the year. China imported a total of 490,27 million metric tonnes in 2025. This is down 10% on the record set in 2024.
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China's steel imports and exports are at record levels
China's steel imports reached a monthly record high in December. This was largely due to the front-loading of shipments, which was prompted by Beijing's announcement that export licenses would be required for shipments starting 2026. Data from the General Administration of Customs in the Philippines showed that the world's largest steel producer exported 11.3 million tons of'metal' used in construction and manufacturing during the month of December, which was the highest amount ever for a month. Beijing plans to implement a license system to regulate steel exports in 2026, after robust shipments sparked a protectionist backlash around the world. Analysts said that some exporters have rushed to increase shipments in anticipation of the new export license requirement. China's property market woes persist despite surprisingly high steel exports. According to a state-backed?research?agency, China's steel?demand is expected to decline by 1% in this?year following a 5.4% annual drop in 2025. Steel exports in the entire year increased by 7.5% compared to the previous year, reaching a record high of 119.02 millions tons. This is despite the fact that more countries are imposing trade barriers against Chinese steel because they claim it has hurt domestic manufacturing. IRON ORE IMPORTS MARCH HIGH TO RECORD HIGH Imports of iron?ore in the largest consumer country reached a record last year, as mills were encouraged to book more cargoes by low inventories and better steel margins. Analysts said that robust exports of steel were also driving a resilient demand for this key ingredient in steelmaking. Imports rose by 8.2% in December from the previous month to 119.65 millions tons. This is the highest monthly import volume ever. In 2025, total imports will reach a new record of 1.26 billion tonnes, an increase of 1.8% over 2024. According to Bai Xin of Horizon Insights, the analyst, global iron ore production is expected to?grow 2.5% by 2026. Shipments to China will increase between 36 and 38 million tonnes, putting pressure on prices in 2018. Reporting by Amy Lv, Lewis Jackson and Jacqueline Wong.
Goldman expects summertime demand to lift Brent crude to $86/bbl in Q3
A healthy growth in customer costs and strong summer demand will press the oil market to a. 1.3 million barrels each day (bpd) deficit in the 3rd quarter. and raise benchmark Brent costs to $86 a barrel, Goldman Sachs. said.
The bank cut its 2024 oil need growth forecast by 0.2. million bpd to 1.25 million bpd, but preserved that it anticipates. demand growth to be robust primarily due to jet fuel recovery.
The modest China-driven demand development downgrade for 2024. offsets a 0.1 million bpd cut to non-OPEC supply and an. assumption of greater U.S. tactical petroleum reserve purchases,. the bank stated in a note on Sunday.
Brent unrefined futures and U.S. West Texas Intermediate. crude futures were trading around $79.85 and $75.74 a. barrel, respectively, by 0448 GMT on Monday.
The Wall Street bank sees Brent averaging at $84 and WTI at. $ 79 a barrel in 2024. It continues to expect Brent in $75-$ 90. range, and kept its 2025 typical price projection unchanged at $82. per barrel.
We still see a $90/bbl ceiling in our base case of no. geopolitical supply hits, and the dangers to our $75-$ 90 range as. decently to the disadvantage, Goldman said.
The bank's experts stated they see a $75/bbl flooring under. Brent as physical need for oil, including from China and the. U.S. SPR, tends to rise when costs fall.
In addition, OPEC's agreement on brand-new production standards. through 2026 signals stronger cohesion, further lowering the. likelihood of much lower costs, Goldman stated, noting that. monetary need for oil is likely to rise considerably if. currently extremely low speculative positioning stabilizes.
A normalization over 6 months in crude and products net. handled cash placing to its typical since 2022 would raise. financial need for oil by 1.5 million bpd..
(source: Reuters)