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Australia modifies down product revenue forecasts as prices trend lower

Australia a little revised down its projections for resource and energy export incomes on Monday as lower prices across a broad variety of products and a. stronger currency continued to pressure an essential source of. federal government earnings.

Australia now expects commodity export incomes to fall. about 10% to A$ 372 billion ($ 256 billion) for the year ended 30. June 2025, down from a forecast of A$ 380 billion made in June,. according to the main resources and energy quarterly. Revenues struck A$ 415 billion in 2015.

The decrease is set to continue into 2026, albeit at a slower. pace, hitting A$ 354 billion.

Product costs are down because of slower economic growth. in the industrialized world, an effect of higher rate of interest,. and weakness in China, a major source of demand for steel and. other products, the report stated.

Australia's biggest export iron ore has actually been particularly. hard struck by the downturn in the Chinese home sector and. costs are down about a 3rd this year.

The nation forecasts iron ore export earnings to be up to. A$ 99 billion in the year ended 30 June 2026 from A$ 138 billion. in 2015.

Costs were lower throughout much of the basket of resources. covered by the report, including metals important to the. renewable energy transition like nickel and lithium.

Lower rates driven by a surge of supply from Indonesia have. forced some Australian nickel mines to shut.

(source: Reuters)