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Gold prices rise as US and Iran reach peace agreement
Gold prices rose for the third straight session on Monday. They reached a high of?nearly one week after Iran and United States agreed that their war would be halted. This agreement eased expectations about higher interest rates. Gold spot rose 3%, to $4,344.77 an ounce at 08:42 am EDT (1242 GMT), reaching its highest level since the 9th of June. U.S. Gold Futures? climbed 3% to 4,366.80. The U.S. Dollar Index was down by 0.2% making metals priced in greenbacks more affordable to holders of other currencies. The deal, while still in its framework stage, was the most significant breakthrough. It would reopen?Strait of Hormuz and send oil prices down. The official signing of the memorandum is set for Friday in Switzerland. The gold market has priced out the conflict. The news of the peace agreement brought down Treasury yields, oil, and the dollar, and these were the major inflation and cross-asset risks, said Phillip Streible. Chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures. Since the Iran conflict began gold has been under pressure as rising energy prices have increased the likelihood of interest rate increases, which tends to weigh down on the non-yielding assets. CME FedWatch shows that traders reduced the odds of an increase in the U.S. interest rate for December from almost 70% last week to just 54.8%. As markets seek clues about the future of interest rates, they are now looking to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on June 16-17, which will be Chair Kevin Warsh’s first as the head. Streible added that Warsh's tone and what he will say about the interest rate path are what will move the markets. The deputy prime minister announced that Singapore would?establish a gold clearing system over the counter and?introduce gold vaulting services by central banks. (Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh Kuber) (Reporting and editing by Shailesh Kuber in Bengaluru)
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Vance hopes to release the text of an agreement to stop war in Iran by this week
?U.S. Vice President JDVance stated on Monday that he hoped the text of an agreement to halt the war in Iran and reopen the 'Strait Of Hormuz would be released this coming week. Further negotiations regarding the details of the deal were scheduled to continue. Vance said in an interview with CNBC that the United States expected the waterway to be open for a long time without tolls. He said, "Our expectation is the Strait?is?going to be opened toll-free for the long term." This is the kind of thing we will figure out during these technical negotiations. You know there are many important?details that need to be worked out. We'll sit down at the table to discuss them and find a way forward. News that the U.S., Iran and other countries had reached an agreement to end the war and reopen strait brought relief to the markets. However, the deal may depend on a ceasefire in Lebanon and postpones discussions on Tehran's nuclear programme. The deal, while still a framework for a resolution of the conflict that has claimed thousands of lives and shattered the energy markets ever since the joint U.S./Israeli'strikes against Iran in February began, was the 'biggest step forward towards resolving this conflict. Vance stated that Iran's foreign minister and House Speaker will represent Iran in Switzerland at the signing on Friday. Many details of the deal are yet to be sorted out. He did not specify who would be representing the U.S. Reporting by Susan Heavey, Katharine Jackson and Hugh Lawson; Editing by Andrew Cawthorne & Hugh Lawson
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Sweden's Vattenfall selects Rolls-Royce SMR nuclear power project
The Swedish utility 'Vattenfall' announced on Monday that it had selected Rolls-Royce SMR for the supply of a series small modular nuclear reactors. GE 'Vernova, a rival. The Swedish parliament passed legislation last year to finance the construction of a new generation reactors. This is the first time in more than 40-years that a new reactor has been built in Sweden. According to the government, this is essential for energy security as well as achieving zero net emissions by 2045. In 'August 2025, Vattenfall said that its Videberg Kraft venture intended to order five GE Vernova GE BWRX-300 reactors or three Rolls-Royce Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) to produce a total output of?close to 1,500 MW. Vattenfall CEO Anna Borg said at a press briefing that the selection of the British over the U.S. group makes Sweden part of a broader European initiative and gives the Nordic country its?first?new nuclear energy in?over forty years. Borg stated that "this project will be made into reality." Rolls-Royce said that each SMR would produce enough electricity to run a million households for over 60 years. Videberg Kraft is 80% owned by Vattenfall and the remaining 20% by a group from Sweden's biggest companies. The company plans to build a new nuclear power capacity on the site of Ringhals, the existing nuclear facility in south-west Sweden. The right-of centre government in Sweden wants to revive nuclear energy amid concerns about energy security. It has forecast that electricity demand will double by 2045 and plans to acquire a 60% majority stake in Videberg Kraft, pending approval from parliament. Private investors are deterred by the high costs and risks. The government is offering up to 440 billion crowns (47 billion dollars) in loans, 40-year guarantees, and support for the management of nuclear waste. This will help spur the construction at least 5,000MW of new nuclear power. (Reporting and editing by Terje Solsvik.)
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Aluminium drops to its lowest level since late March due to Iran deal
On Monday, aluminium prices dropped to their lowest levels in?two and a half months as a U.S. - Iran framework agreement aimed at ending their war improved prospects of deliveries from Gulf -producers. However, shippers remained cautious about transiting through 'the strait of Hormuz. By 1120 GMT the benchmark three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange had fallen 3.2% to $3,422.50 per metric ton, after having reached $3,408, which was its lowest level since March 30. U.S. officials and Iranian officials announced that they had reached a preliminary agreement to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The pact sent oil prices down but left?the fate of Tehran’s nuclear program up to future negotiations. On Friday, the memorandum is expected to be signed in Switzerland. Reopening the Strait of Hormuz would boost prospects for exports of aluminium from the Gulf region. The region's metal producers, who account for 9% of the global supply, use this important waterway to transport their metal to international markets and to import raw materials. It could take several weeks for shippers to rebuild their confidence and navigation will only resume once safety has been assured. Alastair Munro is a senior base metals analyst at broker Marex. He said that the selloff in aluminium last week was also caused because the price fell below the 50-day average. This technical level, currently at $3.575, is regarded as 'key. The 100-day moving averge at $3,396 is the next level of support. The discount for the LME cash aluminium contract compared to the benchmark three-month contract is set to expire on Wednesday. Last week, the premium was $105 per ton. Other LME metals rose by 0.3%, to $13,734.50 per?ton. It had previously reached $13,893.50. This was the highest level since June 5. A fall in oil prices has eased inflationary fears fueled by energy and the dollar. LME zinc dropped 0.2% to $3.577.50. Lead rose 0.3% at $1.970.50. Tin gained 2.4% at $55,025, and nickel increased 0.9% at $17,980. (Reporting and editing by Shilpa Majumdar; Reporting by Polina Devtt)
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ETM is looking for other Spanish mines while it awaits Greenland Rare Earth resolution
Energy Transition Minerals hopes to expand in Spain's Galicia Province as it waits for a resolution of the?legal challenges regarding its massive rare earths project on Greenland. Daniel Mamadou said in an interview with? In an interview, Daniel Mamadou told? Mamadou stated that "Galicia has an ambitious plan to revive its mining industry." He added that up to 52 mines will be put out to tender for development. "We think that the Penouta operation can be at the heart of an expansion of Galicia... We might be able to?benefit from economies of size and position." ETM has not provided any details on the expected production levels or capex for the Penouta Project, but the International Tin Association stated that the mine would produce 351 metric tonnes of tin in concentrate by 2023. SEEKING a dialogue with Greenland ETM has the Kvanefjeld Project in Greenland. It is one of the largest undeveloped rare-earth deposits in the world. However, it cannot develop the project due to a government ban that will take effect on 2021. The company is expecting to appear in court later this year as part of its long-running dispute with the government regarding?the project. Mamadou stated, "We have also tried to push for a parallel track in dialogue which has so far not yielded any meaningful traction. But I think this is about to change." Greenland advertises itself as a mining destination that is "open for business", he said. Last week, the company said that exploration had identified new mineralised areas that contained uranium concentrations below the threshold of the government's ban on uranium. ETM has also been in dispute with China’s Shenghe Resources, its second largest shareholder with a 6 percent stake. This is after ETM terminated a deal signed by the two companies back in April that was supposed to see them jointly develop Kvanefjeld. Mamadou refused to comment when asked if ETM had ended its relationship with Shenghe in order to attract investors from the U.S., Canada and other Western countries as it sought a Nasdaq IPO. (Reporting and editing by Eric Onstad)
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Gold nears a one-week high following US-Iran Peace Deal
As a result of a tentative agreement between the U.S. and Iran, gold prices reached a new high. Oil prices fell as a result of the tentative peace agreement between the?U.S. As of 1044 GMT, spot gold increased 2.8%, reaching $4,336.49 an ounce, its highest level since the 9th of June. U.S. gold for August delivery rose 2.8% to $4358.00. U.S. officials and Iranian officials announced that they had reached a preliminary agreement to?end their war and reopen Strait of Hormuz. This pact sent oil prices 'falling, but left the fate of Tehran’s nuclear programme up for further negotiations. Shehbaz sharif, the Pakistani prime minister, said on X that the pact would be signed in Switzerland on?Friday. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said that "market participants are pricing in rate increases due to lower oil prices which is lifting yellow metal." "In the near term, I would expect some consolidation until we get clarity from Fed later this week." The U.S. Dollar fell to its lowest level in 10 days, making bullion priced in greenbacks more affordable to other currency holders. Oil prices also dropped to their lowest point for over three months. Since the beginning of the U.S. and Israel's war against Iran, in late February of this year, gold prices have been under stress as the rising inflation risk resulting from oil has fueled expectations of longer-term interest rate increases. Gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, but it can lose its appeal when interest rates are high. The opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding assets increases. According to CME FedWatch, the markets have reduced their expectations of a U.S. interest rate increase in December to 53% from 69% the week before. Investors now look forward to the Federal Reserve policy meeting that will take place this week. Barclays is still positive on gold. They cite a number of factors, including the persistent inflation, policy uncertainties, and ongoing diversification of reserves. Singapore, meanwhile, will introduce an over-the counter gold clearing system, and?central banks gold-vaulting service, according to the deputy prime minister. The city-state is aiming to establish itself as a hub for gold trading. Silver spot rose by 4.1%, to $70.76 an ounce. Platinum gained 3.5%, to $1778.20, and palladium increased 4.9%, to $1346.36. (Reporting from Pablo Sinha, Bengaluru. Additional reporting by Katha Kaalia in Bengaluru. Editing by Louise Heavens, Susan Fenton.
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Swedish miner LKAB receives permit for fossil-free sponge Iron plant
?A Swedish environmental court approved on Monday?the state-owned mining company LKAB's plans to build a fossil free sponge iron plant? at its Malmberget site?in Gallivare. The demonstration factory 'will be an integral part of plans for "green steel" venture Hybrit. It is owned by LKAB and SSAB, as well as state-owned utility Vattenfall. Hydrogen and electricity will replace the coking coal that is traditionally used for steel production based on ore. The Land and Environment court in Umea stated that "permission can be given because it's possible to?limit the impact of the activity through conditions." A decision on investment is still pending in the Hybrit demonstration plant, which could produce up to 1,5 million tons of fossil free iron sponge per year. In 2020, a smaller Hybrit Pilot?plant will be opened in Lulea. The European green steel project is increasingly being delayed, scaled back or cancelled. This is because switching to hydrogen-based direct reduction iron systems and electric-arc furnaces, from coal-based blow furnaces, requires billions of euro in investments, and the hydrogen produced from renewable energy can be expensive. In a separate press release, LKAB CEO Johan Menckel stated that "our ambition is to gradually increase our competitiveness through further processing of our pellets into a fossil-free sponge iron while also expanding our?business in critical minerals". The ruling of Monday is appealable. Hybrid is one of two big green steel schemes that are available in Sweden where renewable electricity can be purchased at a low cost. In April, the?startup Stegra raised 1.4 billion euro ($1.6 billion) in additional funds to finish its hydrogen-based Steel Factory in Boden. The court said on Monday that it had also 'approved LKAB plans to continue mining operations, expand the tailings pond, and build a facility for?extracting apatite? from waste materials produced in?iron ore production. Apatite can be used to recover phosphorus or rare earths. In 2025, LKAB mines produced about 26 million tonnes of iron ore. $1 = 0.8614 euros (Reporting and editing by Anna Ringstrom, Clarence Fernandez).
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Let the oil flow!
Anna Szymanski is the Editor-in Charge of Open Interest. On?Monday, oil prices fell and global stocks rose after the United States reached a preliminary agreement with Iran. After more than three months of disruption, the memorandum of agreement should allow the?Strait of Hormuz to reopen. Donald Trump, the U.S. president and Shehbaz Sharif, the Pakistani prime minister announced that a deal was struck late Sunday night. The agreement, which is scheduled to be signed in Switzerland on Friday, leaves many questions unanswered. This may mean that market celebrations are premature. Below, I will go into more detail. Listen to the Morning Bid Daily Podcast - a special episode on the market impact of the U.S. Iran deal. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks. 'LET THE OPEC FLOW' The exact terms of the U.S. and Iran MoU are unclear. Details on thornier topics - like Iran's nucleic programme - will be discussed in further negotiations after a 60-day period of ceasefire. Traffic through the strait is also uncertain to return to normal anytime soon. The President wrote on Twitter that the strait would reopen without tolls and that the U.S. Naval Blockade will be lifted, declaring "Let's let the oil flow!" The restarting of shut-in oil facilities and the reorientation of tankers is going to take some time. Shippers are also cautious about this whole episode. The markets are still optimistic. Brent crude dropped over 4% after the news of a U.S. Iran deal. It is now trading at $83 per barrel - its lowest price since early March. The announcement was well received by Asian equity markets, as both the Nikkei 225 and KOSPI, which are two of the biggest net energy importers, rose 5%. Wall Street futures in the US were up more than 1% by the time the bell rang, and the STOXX 600 index hit a new record high in Europe. The prospect of a reopened strait should temper inflation expectations and rate-hike betting, which have risen as the three-month conflict has caused energy prices to rise in economies all over the world. The headline CPI in the U.S. topped 4% for the first time ever in May. U.S. Treasury rates fell on Monday. The 10-year yield reached a new low and helped drag the dollar down. This news comes ahead of an important week for central bankers. It is possible that the possibility of the energy squeeze easing could help dovish policymakers, including the new Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh. Wednesday will mark the first meeting of the new Fed chair, and policymakers are expected keep rates at 3.5%-3.75%. Investors will closely monitor the messaging of the meeting to see how Warsh will lead the central bank, now that he is at the helm. Warsh has been widely viewed as favoring a looser policy in the short term. However, a growing number of FOMC Members have recently spoken out against the "easing bias". The news of the preliminary U.S. Iran deal will undoubtedly impact the debate. However, a series robust U.S. job prints, including May's nonfarm payrolls is likely to continue the heat. The Bank of Japan is first up on the central bank agenda this week. They will meet on Tuesday, and are expected to increase rates to 1% - a new high of 31 years. The Bank of England, on the other hand, is expected to maintain rates at their Thursday meeting. Investors will be watching Elon Musk's SpaceX closely to see what happens this week after the rocket maker recently listed its shares. This week, the G7 Summit, which began in France today and the May inflation releases for the UK and Euro?zone are also on the agenda. In the UK, there will be an important by-election on Thursday that could lead to a leadership battle between Keir starmer, Prime Minister of the UK and Andy Burnham, Greater Manchester mayor. Chart of the Day Brent crude dropped to its lowest level since early March, Monday. It fell over 4% to $83 per barrel following the announcement of the U.S. - Iran memorandum. The oil price had been hovering around $100/bbl despite the repeated military incidents in the Middle East. Watch today's events * U.S. May ?industrial production (9:15 a.m. EDT) The G7 Leaders meet in France Want to receive Morning Bid every morning in your email? Subscribe to the newsletter by clicking here. Follow us on LinkedIn, X and ROI. The opinions expressed here are the author's. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is committed to the Trust Principles and is dedicated to integrity, independence and freedom from bias.
The RV industry in America is feeling the effects of high gas prices and war.
Coley Brady, in late March, cut production on the majority of assembly lines in his sprawling complex in Elkhart (Indiana) from five to four days per week, when it became clear that spring sales had slowed.
At the time of the U.S./Israeli war against Iran, the global energy market disruptions had already caused American gasoline and diesel fuel prices to rise by 33% and 43% respectively.
"Clearly, the war and increased gas prices are the easiest things to blame," said Brady. He is co-founder at Alliance RV which manufactures high-end motorhomes and fifth-wheels.
The RV industry, which is located in northern Indiana and produces over 80% of all RVs sold in the U.S., can be a good indicator of how the economy will develop. According to Commerce Department figures, consumer spending on recreational vehicles and goods fell for the fifth consecutive month in April. This is the biggest drop in real spending in this category since 2008, when the Great Recession was at its height. RVs are discretionary, expensive purchases that can be put off as uncertainty increases over the economy. According to University of Michigan Surveys of consumers, U.S. Consumer sentiment hit a new low in May, before improving slightly in early juin. Inflation, which is at its highest level in three years, continues to squeeze household budgets. Interest rates are still high, which doesn't help. According to LendingTree, most consumers finance RV purchases. The average interest rate for these loans is 7.53 percent.
Jeff?Hirsch is CEO of Campers Inn. The company operates 50 RV dealerships across 22 states. He said that while more affluent boomers continue to buy, many more budget-conscious consumers do not feel it's the right time for an investment. RV sales usually increase in the spring as people plan their summer vacations. Statistical Surveys Inc. reports that registrations of RVs for consumers have been declining since last summer. This includes a 22% drop in March, and a 17% decline in April compared to the previous year.
RV manufacturers shipped 13.5% less units to dealers during the first four month of this year than they did last year. This is according to the RV Industry Association. RVIA cut its "projection" for full-year shipments on June 1, to a range between?300,000.00 and 328.100 units. This is a far cry from last year's 342200 units.
In a press release, Craig Kirby, RVIA president, stated that "economic headwinds and tightening budgets of households are contributing to a cautious outlook for RV shipment in 2026".
Take it in stride
In recent years, the RV industry has been struggling. Early in the COVID-19 epidemic, business boomed as people looked for ways to travel without having to fly or stay in hotels. In 2021, shipments reached a new record of 600,000. Sales collapsed after the crisis and the industry had to deal with an overhang of inventory.
Gregg Fore is a former RV component manufacturer who now consults in the industry. He said that the war in Iran, and the high price of gas, "killed any speed?there was?" in the market heading into spring. Many manufacturers now have limited production schedules. Some manufacturers are consolidating their plants. Brady, from Alliance RV, is confident that business will improve in the second half of the year and possibly this summer, if the conflict in Iran is resolved. Analysts, however, believe that gasoline prices will remain high even if tensions ease. He said that the stock market is strong and that it will ultimately benefit business. Some trends could boost RV sales. The rising cost of airfares reminds us that road trips are still a cheaper and more attractive alternative, even if the cost to travel to Europe or other destinations starts to decrease. Brady says that "Mexico had problems with cartels, violence and other issues" while cruise lines were hurt by illness reports.
He said: "You would think that all of this would lead back to RV usage."
Brady stated that it "depends on market." Brady estimates that the reduction in production on certain lines has reduced his output by 10 percent since March. He said that although the production was scheduled to continue through July, if things go well in the summer, he could increase it.
Michael Hicks is an economist who studies the RV industry at Ball State University. He said that there are many factors in favor of the industry. He pointed out that many RV buyers are in their 50s and 60s with retirement savings. He said that they had already experienced high gas prices and higher interest rates when buying homes. "Those are?the ones that the industry really relies on."
Michael Provost, a Rhode Island retiree, is one of those people. The Rhode Island retiree, 69, has owned three RVs in the past 20 years and does not see any reason to reduce his usual pattern of traveling with his wife Cheryl to Cape Cod during the summer months and Florida during the winter.
He dismisses the rise in gas prices. He said that this year we had been to Florida, and upon returning, the price of gas was $1 more per gallon. "You just take it in stride."
(source: Reuters)