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Oil recovers some of the losses caused by US-China tensions

Oil prices rose Monday, after falling to a five-month low in the previous session. Investors hoped that potential talks between U.S. presidents and Chinese leaders could ease tensions over trade between the two world's largest economies and oil users.

Brent crude futures rose 92 cents or 1.47% to $63.65 per barrel at 0408 GMT, after falling 3.82% to its lowest level since May 7.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was at $59.79 per barrel, up 89-cents or 1.51% after a 4.24% drop to its lowest level since May 7. WTI prices are expected to settle on Tuesday, as Monday is an American public holiday.

The rebound in the oil markets was likely caused by traders profit-taking on the 'TACO trade' after Trump and Vice-President JD Vance indicated that the newly-announced tariffs were more a negotiation tool and that they were open for making a deal.

"However (price) volatility is expected." "I do not think oil or other risk assets will reverse their losses any time soon," she said.

Last week, U.S. and China trade tensions erupted after China increased its rare earth export controls. This prompted U.S. president Donald Trump to respond on Friday by imposing 100% tariffs on China’s U.S. bound exports as well as new export controls on “any and all critical" software before November 1.

The move comes ahead of a possible Trump-Xi summit on the sidelines the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Forum in South Korea. U.S. trade representative Jamison Greer stated that the meeting could still take place later this month.

Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a report that the most likely scenario is that both sides will pull back from their most aggressive policies, and that the talks could lead to an extension - possibly indefinite – of the tariff escalation freeze reached in May.

They added that there was still a risk of trade tensions increasing, which could lead to higher export taxes or greater restrictions on exports, at least temporary.

The oil prices fell in March and April, when tensions between China and the United States were at their highest.

Customs data show that China's crude oil imports rose by 3.9% in September compared to a year ago, reaching 11.5 million barrels a day. Refineries were operating at the highest rates of utilisation so far this season, and stockpiling continued.

Trump announced on Sunday in the Middle East that the Gaza War has ended. He is now heading to Israel, where he will be releasing Israeli hostages as well as Palestinian prisoners under the fragile ceasefire which he brokered. (Reporting and editing by Lincoln Feast, Sonali Paul, and Florence Tan)

(source: Reuters)