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Russian diesel output set to fall 7.5% m/m to 7 mln T in August

Production of diesel in Russia might decrease by around 7.5% in August from July to 7.1 million metric heaps due to failures and upkeep work at refineries, Reuters estimations, based on assessments of 2 market sources, revealed on Friday.

The sources expected Russia to give concern to attempting to meet domestic diesel need during the collecting campaign, and that might indicate diesel exports will fall by a fifth from July.

Russia's seaborne diesel and gasoil exports have currently shrunk in August to about 2.7-2.8 million lots, the most affordable considering that September 2023, as a result of refinery upkeep and high domestic fuel demand, information from LSEG and the sources that could not be determined because they were not authorised to speak publicly show.

Oslo-based consultancy Rystad Energy on Friday reported a. deeper drop to the most affordable level given that October 2020 according to. preliminary estimates based upon vessel tracking systems.

It stated seaborne exports of Russian diesel and gasoil. declined to around 690,000 bpd on Aug. 1-25 from 960,000 barrels. per day (bpd) in July.

The decrease in refined item exports may reflect strong. need in Russia in August or continued potential problems in. the refinery sector, which is possible given the opacity of. Russian data. In both cases, this is more of a bullish signal. for the oil products and diesel market, it stated.

The most significant factor to the fuel output decline might be. the Ryazan plant, controlled by Rosneft, which idled. majority the diesel hydrotreater capacity. The market. sources stated they expected top quality diesel production at the. plant to decrease by 60% this month.

Output at Gazprom Neft-owned Omsk refinery will. fall due to the blackout at the CDU-11 main unit following a. fire today that killed one employee and hurt 6 more.

Perm and Volgograd oil plants, which stopped their. hydrocracker systems, in addition to Novokuybyshev refinery, will likewise. see their diesel output decreasing, market sources said.

(source: Reuters)