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Oil to have worst week for months due to Trump's tariffs

Oil prices dropped over 1% Friday and are on track to have the worst week for months due to U.S. president Donald Trump's tariffs. This has stoked fears that a trade war around the world could harm oil demand.

Brent futures dropped 76 cents a barrel to $69.38 by 0532 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures declined 78 cents or 0.5% to $66.13. Brent is on track to suffer its largest weekly percentage loss since the week ending October 14 and WTI since January 21.

The impact of Trump's highly anticipated announcement on tariffs was felt more in other markets. As the news shocked the global financial markets, investors rushed to gold, bonds and the Japanese yen for safety.

The dollar index (which measures the U.S. money against six other currencies) fell to 102.98. This is its lowest level since mid-October.

Weakness appears in futures contracts with longer dates. The spreads for both the six-month and 12-month periods have shrunk dramatically," BMI analysts said in a Friday note.

The tariffs are most damaging to key Asian emerging economies, which represent a major market for the growth of oil consumption.

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+), which is a group of oil-producing countries and their allies, has decided to move forward with their plan to increase the amount of oil produced. They now aim to return 411, 000 barrels per day in May instead of the 135,000 bpd originally planned.

This brings forward the surplus we expect to see on the oil market in this year. Analysts at ING stated on Friday that more OPEC+ production should lead to a greater medium sour crude and a larger Brent-Dubai differential. This spread has been at a discount unusual for most of the year.

The new tariffs on imports of oil and gas, and refined products, were not applied to these imports. However, the policy could increase inflation, slow down economic growth, and intensify trade conflicts, which would impact oil prices. (Reporting and editing by Gerry Doyle, Shri Navaratnam and Sudarshan Varadhan)

(source: Reuters)