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Ukraine's GDP warrants, Ukrenergo bonds rally to pre-Russia intrusion levels

2 fixedincome instruments issued by Ukraine's federal government and its state power firm that were not included in a restructuring proposal today rose for a second day on Tuesday to reach preinvasion levels, according to Tradeweb information.

The federal government had said in a regulative notification on Monday that it intended to make payments for both the warrant authorization fees and the credits for 2021 growth, which had actually been due in 2023.

The GDP warrants gained 2 cents on the dollar to bid at 57.78 cents, while state-owned power business Ukrenergo's bond rallied 2.3 cents to reach 46.68 cents on the dollar. Both were the greatest levels for those instruments given that the days before Russia's invasion in February 2022.

Ukraine's GDP warrants were not included in a restructuring Kyiv presented on Monday that proposes a 37% nominal hairstyle to its outstanding international bonds, other than to remove cross default stipulations from the sovereign bonds that were restructured.

Our company believe the credit for the 2021 growth year in particular suggests some goodwill by Ukrainian authorities to come to an amicable restructuring option with warrant holders ( likely by early 2025, in our view), said Andreas Kolbe at Barclays.

The warrants' prices were enhanced by the confirmation of upcoming payments as well as from them being dealt with separately from the bonds, according to a Morgan Stanley research study note from Tuesday.

The most likely situation stays an exchange into bonds in the coming months, which now looks even more likely offered versatility on the part of the (Group of Financial Institutions of Ukraine). on near-term payments, the note stated.

The offer

announced

by the federal government on Monday was struck with holders of. about 25% of the bonds exceptional, yet the expectation is that. enough support will gather to make it successful.

Barclays stated the announced deal appears far more. generous than we expected, while Morgan Stanley said it presumed. without a doubt the bulk (of shareholders) will accept it, adding. that the true upside involved an end to the war.

If the restructuring prospers it will be the first. carried out while the sovereign remains at a major war.

(source: Reuters)