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AlixPartners estimates that only 15 electric car brands will be left in China by 2030.

AlixPartners, a consultancy, said that only 15 of the 129 brands currently selling electric vehicles and hybrids in China are financially viable by 2030. This is because intense competition has forced consolidation, and others have left the market.

AlixPartners, without naming brands, said that these 15 brands will account for 75% of China’s EVs and plug-ins by the end the decade. Each brand averages annual sales of 1,02 million units.

Stephen Dyer of AlixPartners, the head of their automotive practice in Asia said that consolidation in China will be slower than other markets because local governments are likely to continue to support non-viable brand names due to their importance for regional economies, employment, and supply chains.

China, which is the largest auto market in the world, is currently experiencing a price battle and overcapacity. Both are putting pressure on profitability. Other than BYD, Li Auto and other publicly listed Chinese electric vehicle makers have not achieved profitability for a full year.

Chinese regulators called on automakers to stop the price wars. Dyer, however, said that he believed the price wars would continue but with "hidden factors" such as zero-interest finance and insurance subsidies.

Dyer stated that the capacity utilisation ratio in Chinese auto plants fell to 50% on average last year. This is the lowest level in 10 years and has a negative impact on profits.

(source: Reuters)