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Bond yields and global equities are rising with the dollar as US inflation soars
MSCI's global equities index advanced along with the dollar Wednesday as investors?assessed higher-than-expected inflation data, while they waited for a meeting between U.S. president Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the Labor Department, U.S. producer price increases were?higher than expected for April and their largest gain since early?2022. The latest economic impact of the U.S. and Israel war on Iran is evident in the U.S. consumer price data, which showed that energy costs have increased the most since 2012. Jim Baird is the chief investment officer of Plante Moran Financial Advisors. He said that this data was a further source to increase the concern about inflation. Investors are likely to be most concerned about this narrative in the short term. He added that there are two opposing forces at play: "the concerns about inflation and the implications for Fed policy and interest rates." Wall Street's technology sector was a bright spot on Wednesday, as it helped to counter inflation fears. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both advanced with the largest gains coming from shares related to artificial intelligence. Ryan Detrick is the chief market strategist for Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. After some weakness yesterday the chip stocks soared back today. Elon Musk and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang were among the entourage of President Trump who received a warm welcome on Wednesday in Beijing as he was preparing to ask China's Xi Jinping for "openness" towards U.S. businesses at the beginning of their two-day meeting. Trump stated on Tuesday that while some investors had hoped that the talks would lead to progress in the?Middle East war, he didn't think that he needed China's assistance to end the conflict. "We'll hear a message saying that the meeting was productive. In reality, the progress will be limited. I'd be realistic in my expectations. Baird, of Plante Moran, said: "You have to be." The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 67.36, or 0.14 %, to 49.693.20. The S&P 500 rose by 43.29, or 0.58 %, to 7,444.25; and the Nasdaq Composite gained 314.14, or 1.20 %), to 26,402.32. MSCI's index of stocks?across the world rose 6.01 points or 0.54% to 1,109.33. The pan-European STOXX 600 closed earlier up by 0.79%. Bond markets saw longer-dated yields reach their highest level since mid-2025, before paring gains Wednesday, after producer prices rose higher than economists expected in April. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes was flat, at 4.471% from 4.471% on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond rate rose?1.1 points to 5.04%. The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve fell by 1.7 basis points, to 3.979%. The dollar reached a new two-week high after the latest U.S. Investors focused on inflation data, while Trump and China's Xi are set to start talks in Beijing. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket including the yen, euro and other currencies) rose by 0.16% at 98.49. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.22% to $1.1711. The dollar gained 0.16% against the Japanese yen to reach 157.87. It briefly surged on Tuesday due to "rate-check" speculations, which are often viewed as a prelude?to an intervention. The pound fell 0.1% to 1.3523, as Keir starmer's hold on power began to wane. Oil futures fell as investors worried that the U.S. could raise interest rates due to inflation. They also waited for updates about the summit in Beijing. Brent crude fell 1.99% to $105.63 a barrel on Monday, while U.S. crude dropped 1.14% to $101.02 per barrel. Spot gold dropped 0.5% to $4689.91 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.04% at $4,679.60 per ounce. Reporting by Sinead Culp, Stephen Culp and Elizabeth Howcroft. Clarence Fernandez and Mark Potter edited by Keith Weir.
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Kashkari: Fed is "dead serious" about lowering inflation
Neel Kahkari, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President, said on Wednesday that U.S. employment looks "a bit better" now than earlier in the year, and that the Iran War has worsened an already high inflation rate. These views underscore Kashkari's preference to leave the Fed open to rate increases. Kashkari stated that he was "dead serious" about bringing the?inflation down at a St. Paul Area Chamber?event in St. Paul Minnesota. Kashkari is one of the three Fed policymakers that dissented at the Fed meeting in April. He advocated for a change in the Fed statement after the meeting to reflect an openness to interest rate increases and not only rate cuts. He spoke as 'the U.S. Senate was preparing to confirm Kevin Warsh, as the Fed’s new chairman. Donald Trump said he expected the Fed to reduce rates under Warsh. "The Federal Reserve chair has a great deal of influence." The chair sets the agenda. What topics will we be discussing? What types of?things are we going to consider in this 'deliberation?' Kashkari responded to a question on whether Warsh would deliver the rate reductions Trump desires. "But, when it comes to a vote (on interest rate), the chair is only one of twelve voters." So a new chair, no matter who it is, and whatever the situation, will need to convince his or her peers that this course of action is best.
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Poland claims to have intercepted Russian aircraft in the Baltic Sea
?Poland's air force intercepted an?Russian reconnaissance aircraft in international waters of the?Baltic Sea. The Russian flight was deemed a provocative act and a potential threat. The machine flew in international airspace with its?transponders off and without a flight plan. The Polish army stated in a social media post that there was no violation to?Polish airspace. Defence Minister Wladyslaw KsiniakKamysz stated that flights without transponders could be a 'threat to other aircraft' and 'that its pilots would always respond immediately. "Our aircraft intercepted an Il-20 Russian reconnaissance aircraft in international waters of the Baltic Sea." "This is yet another aggressive act by the Russian?Federation, and a test for our air defense system," he wrote in X. The Polish Army announced earlier?on Wednesday that?it?had conducted military aviation operations within Polish airspace in response to?Russian strikes against?Ukraine. The Operational Command of the Polish Armed Forces stated on X that "Ground-based radar reconnaissance and air defence systems which were activated have returned to standard operational activities."
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Gold continues to decline as inflation worries weigh on rate-cut bets
The gold price fell a second time on Wednesday as inflation fears fueled by war weighed on the expectations for interest rate reductions. Markets were also looking forward to the upcoming summit between U.S. president Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. At 1:59 pm EDT (1759 GMT), spot gold was down by 0.6% to $4,686.35 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures closed 0.4% higher at $ 4,706.70. U.S. Producer Prices increased more than expected in April, posting the biggest gain since early 2020. This is the latest sign that inflation has accelerated amid a 'war on Iran. Peter Grant, senior metals analyst at Zaner Metals and vice president, said that inflation remains sticky, and expectations of higher rates were reinforced. This has been pushing gold down the last two weeks. Gold is often seen as a hedge to inflation. However, higher interest rates tend to?pressurize the metal. The data released on Wednesday shows that the U.S. consumer price index increased in April by a further 3%, and its annual rate has reached its highest level in three years. Last month, the U.S. Central Bank left its benchmark interest rate at 3.50%-3.75%. According to CME Group's FedWatch, traders have priced in a U.S. interest rate cut for this year. Trump was in China to make deals, to maintain the fragile trade truce between China and the second largest economy of world, and to boost his public approval ratings, which were hurt by his war against Iran. India increased its import tariffs for?gold and?silver to 15%, up from 6%. This was done to reduce the amount of metals purchased overseas and to ease the pressure on the country's reserves of foreign currency. India is the?second largest consumer of precious metals in the world. Grant stated that the news of higher import duties from India could create a demand concern and be a long-term obstacle. After hitting its highest level in the past two months, spot silver rose 1.6% to $87.28 per ounce. Platinum rose 1.6% to $2.159.58 after reaching its highest level since 12 March. Palladium rose 1.2% to $1,508.39. Ashitha Shivprasad reported from Bengaluru, and Alexander Smith, Ali Williams and Diti Pjara edited the article.
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Gold prices in India surpass $200/ounce records amid profit-taking
Bullion dealers reported that gold discounts in India reached a record high of over $200 per ounce on Wednesday. This was due to the surge in price after the 'import duty increase, which triggered investor selling in a weakening 'demand. India raised its import tariffs for gold and silver from 6% to 15% on Wednesday as part of an effort to reduce overseas purchases of these metals and relieve pressure on the country’s foreign exchange reserves. "Discounts were insane in the physical market." "We were double-checking before we executed deals," said the bullion division chief of a Mumbai-based bank who has been trading gold for over two decades. Discounts offered by dealers in India On Wednesday, the official domestic price of gold was $17 per ounce, but that increased to up to $207 per ounce, including 15% import duty and 3% sales tax. Mumbai-based dealers at private banks said that the duty increase triggered a steep rise in gold prices in their locality, which led some investors to sell gold at deep discounts in order to take advantage of gains. The two bullion dealers refused to be identified as they weren't authorised to talk to the media. The price of gold futures on the?second largest consuming market in the world jumped 7.2% to 164 497 rupees for 10 grams. This was the highest level seen in over two months. The bullion dealer stated that investors?were also able to make profits on gold exchange-traded fund (ETFs) and this was adding to the supply?into the market. Ashok Jain of Mumbai's gold wholesaler,?Chenaji Narsinghji, stated that retail buyers and jewellers were on the sidelines. This increased selling pressure, pushing discounts up to "unusual high levels". A bullion dealer in Chennai also expressed concerns that the recent duty hike could increase smuggling as it increased?margins for gray-market operators from 9% to around 18%. Grey market operators sell gold for cash in order to avoid duty, which allows them to offer the product at a discount to market price by evading tax. (Reporting by Rajendra Jadhav)
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Sources claim that the Brazilian government will announce a measure to subsidise gasoline.
Two sources familiar with the matter said that the Brazilian government will announce an executive order on Wednesday to subsidize gasoline. The goal is to cushion consumers from the higher oil prices caused by the Middle East conflict. In a?statement, the government announced that it would hold a?press conference at 3 p.m. local (1800 GMT) on?Monday to announce "measures" for the fuel industry aimed at "addressing war's effects," but did not give any further details. According to a?source, the?subsidy would be paid to producers and importers of gasoline who will then pass on savings to consumers. The goal is an effect that's?similar to partial reductions in federal fuel tax. Last month, the government announced subsidies for diesel fuel and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), as well as lower taxes on biodiesel and jet fuel. High fuel prices are a concern to?President Luiz nacio Lula da Silva who is expected to run for reelection in this year. (Reporting and writing by Bernardo Caram, Editing by Gabriel Araujo).
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Egypt signs $1.5 billion loan agreement with ITFC for food and energy security
Egypt and the Islamic Trade Finance Corporation signed a $1.5 billion loan on Wednesday, to support the food and energy security of the country in the north. ITFC CEO Adib Yourssef Al?Aama stated during the signing ceremony that the ITFC had approved more than $24 billion of funding for Egypt since?2008 to support the energy sector, food security and small and medium enterprises. The funding includes $8.8 Billion for the General Authority for Supply Commodities to support Egypt’s imports of?food?commodities. This includes 12.6 Million tons of wheat. The ITFC has also helped Egypt to pay off arrears owed by foreign oil companies that it has pledged to fully repay by the end June. Egypt's bread subsidy program, which costs up to $2.6 billion per year and relies on by 70 million people, is one of the largest wheat importers in the world. The government announced last week that it could end the current subsidy programme and replace it with cash transfers beginning in July. The loan is coming as Egypt's economy absorbs the shockwaves from the war in Iran. This will put fresh pressure on the?country that is still navigating its fragile reform path under the $8 billion IMF program. The war cast a shadow on Egypt's fragile economic stability. It remains heavily reliant upon hot money inflows for financing, and on gas imports for energy.
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Tyson Foods CFO: 'Spotty' expansion of US cattle herd by Tyson Foods.
Tyson Foods' Chief Financial Officer Curt calaway stated on Wednesday that U.S. producers are "spotty",?in their efforts to rebuild a nation's reduced herd. Supplies will remain tight as low inventories pushed beef prices to record levels. As part of his efforts to reduce domestic beef prices, President Donald 'Trump' has been considering possible executive actions that would lower tariffs on imported beef and regulations for producers. Prices for milk, eggs and other grocery staples are down since Trump's presidency in January 2025. However, beef prices have increased by over 16%. HIGH?PRICES AND DROUGHT WORRIES Ranchers are slow to keep female cows, also known as heifers, for breeding. This is a crucial step in rebuilding herds, and increasing beef production. Cattle supplies have dropped to their lowest level in 75 years by 2026. Producers have instead sent animals to be slaughtered in order to profit from high prices, and due concerns about the 'dry weather' limiting grazing land. Calaway, speaking at the BMO Investor Conference in New York, said that cattle supplies would remain tight until 2027. He added that heifer retention is "spotty" and "regional." He said, "We will still manage with a limited cattle supply." Meatpackers are losing money on their beef business because rising cattle costs outweigh the gains made by higher beef prices. Tyson closed a beef facility in Nebraska and reduced operations at another one in Texas, laying off thousands workers. The beef prices rose due to a strong 'demand' and ranchers cutting their herds as grazing lands in the western U.S. were affected by drought. The Trump?administration also halted the imports of Mexican cows to prevent the New World Screwworm parasite. Calaway stated that Tyson's business of prepared foods, which uses raw materials such as beef and pork, had seen commodity inflation in seven out of eight quarters. The Iran War has accelerated inflation for consumers. Producer prices in April posted their largest increase in four-years. Donnie King, CEO of Donnie King Enterprises, said that there is a "point" where consumers will turn away from a product because of the price. "Inflation" is a real thing. It persists. "We don't think that will change in any meaningful way."
Who is Trump's target?
Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has continued to criticize and take action against corporate executives, institutions and corporations, even months after assuming office. His actions, from new export deals to freezing university grants, have changed the status quo in the United States between government, law and academia.
Trump has publicly criticised a number of influential individuals and entities.
NETFLIX
Netflix has acquired Warner Bros Discovery’s film studios, streaming service and Warner Bros Discovery’s streaming arm for $72 billion. This gives Netflix control over one of Hollywood’s most iconic assets.
After a lengthy bidding war, Netflix's offer of nearly $28 per share beat out Paramount Skydance, who had made several unsolicited offers to purchase Warner Bros Discovery and its cable television assets.
U.S. president
Donald Trump said
He would comment on the proposed merger, citing concern over the combined market share. It's up to some economists to decide .... It is still a large market share. "There's no doubt it could be a serious problem," he said.
The CEO of GUNVOR will step down
Gunvor, a global commodity trading company, announced that its CEO Torbjorn Tornqvist would step down and sell all of his shares in a management-led buyout. This comes after the U.S. labeled the company the "Kremlin’s puppet" because of its previous Russian connections.
The company announced earlier this month that Americas Head Gary Pedersen will take on the top position. Pedersen was hired just last year by the firm.
In November, the U.S. Treasury sank Gunvor's largest ever deal for the acquisition of international assets owned by Russian oil giant Lukoil sanctioned by the U.S.
Pedersen’s promotion coincides Gunvor’s efforts to improve its relations with the U.S. The firm has been in active discussions to invest in U.S. assets producing oil and gas in recent weeks.
GOLDMAN SACHS
Goldman's Economic Research arm published a report in August that stated U.S. Consumers had absorbed 22 percent of tariff costs up to June. Their share could increase to 67%, if recent levies continue the same pattern.
Trump stated shortly after that "David Solomon, and Goldman Sachs, refuse to give credit when credit is due." In a post made on Truth Social.
Trump claimed that "mostly, companies and governments, some of which are foreign, pick up the tab". Solomon's former hobby of DJing was also a target for Trump.
Trump asked Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tang to resign in early August because of China ties. In April, it was reported that Tan had invested $200 million into hundreds of Chinese chip and advanced manufacturing firms, including some linked to the Chinese military.
"The CEO at INTEL has a great deal of CONFLICT and must resign immediately." Trump stated in a Truth Social post that there is no solution to the problem.
Tan replied to Trump by saying that he shared his commitment to the advancement of U.S. economic and national security, and that the Intel Board was "fully supportive" of the transformation work our company is doing.
After a meeting with Tan, Trump praised him and the U.S. Government decided to buy a stake in this chipmaker.
MICROSOFT
Trump said in September that the tech company should fire Lisa Monaco, its global affairs director who has served in previous Democratic administrations.
Trump stated on Truth Social that "she is a threat to the National Security of the United States, especially in light of the large contracts Microsoft has with the United States Government." "I believe that Microsoft should terminate Lisa Monaco's employment immediately."
Trump stated that Monaco's position at Microsoft would give her access to sensitive information. "This kind of access cannot stand," said Trump.
Monaco, who joined Microsoft in July, worked as a security adviser in the administration of former President Barack Obama and was deputy attorney general under former President Joe Biden.
Elon Musk, the billionaire CEO of Tesla's electric car company, spent hundreds of million dollars to support Trump's reelection. Investors who bid up Tesla's stock anticipated that this move would benefit Musk's empire.
Musk and Trump, however, had a falling out in June, after Musk criticised Trump's tax-cutting and spending bill, claiming that it would increase the federal debt.
Musk responded to Trump's comments on Truth Social by threatening to cut off federal contracts and subsidies to Musk's businesses. Trump also said that the billionaire had "gone CRAZY", after the bill was amended to remove the mandate for electric vehicles.
JAGUAR LAND RIDER
Trump criticised Jaguar's rebranding campaign in August. He called the campaign "woke", "stupid" and linked it to the departure from the CEO of the company.
Trump's remarks came at the same time that Tata Motors announced the retirement from the British automaker of Adrian Mardell who had spent over three decades with the company.
Jaguar unveiled last year a new visual identity and logo as part of its brand refresh to reposition itself as an electrical automaker. This move sparked a backlash online and was criticized by brand loyalists.
Trump has repeatedly threatened to impose tariffs on Apple and Tim Cook for selling iPhones in the United States outside of the country.
After a meeting with Cook in Doha, Qatar in May, Trump said that he confronted him about Apple's plans to manufacture the majority of iPhones sold in America in factories in India by 2026.
In a post on social media, Trump said he had told Cook "long time ago" "I expect that their iPhones will be sold in America, and not in India or anywhere else".
Early in August, Trump announced that Apple would invest another $100 billion dollars in the U.S. This will bring its total commitment domestically to $600 billion within the next four-year period. Cook gave Trump an American souvenir made with 24-karat-gold base.
AMAZON.COM
Trump complained to Jeff Bezos, former CEO of Amazon.com in April about a report that stated the company would display the prices to show the impact tariffs have on the ecommerce retailer Amazon.com.
Amazon, however, said that it only briefly considered charging import fees for certain goods following Trump's announcement of tariffs in April, but abandoned the plan after the White House accused Amazon of a hostile political act.
Trump told reporters later that Bezos "very quickly" solved the problem and was "very nice".
BANK OF AMERICA & JPMORGAN CHASE
In August, Trump claimed that JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon and BofA CEO Brian Moynihan discriminated against him. He had earlier said that they didn't provide banking services for conservatives.
In a video speech at the World Economic Forum, Trump stated, "What you are doing is wrong." In a question and answer session with CEOs and corporate leaders assembled on stage, Trump did not provide any evidence of wrongdoing.
Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase was also mentioned. "You, Jamie, and everyone else, I hope that you're going to open your bank up to conservatives." Both lenders have repeatedly denied allegations of "debanking."
WALMART
Trump stated in May that Walmart, China and other retailers should "eat tariffs" to avoid burdening American consumers. This was after Doug McMillon had said that the retailer couldn't absorb all tariff-related cost due to narrow retail margins.
Walmart should STOP blaming tariffs for the price increases across the chain. Walmart made BILLIONS of DOLLARS in the last year. This was far more than anticipated, Trump wrote on social media.
Trump didn't call McMillon out personally but he did publicly criticize Walmart for attributing the price increases in May to tariffs that his administration imposed.
CRACKER BAREL
A retail chain was blindsided by an unexpected reaction when it changed its logo to remove the image of a man in overalls known as "Uncle Herschel", leaning on a barrel.
Cracker Barrel announced in late August that it would stick with its decades old logo. Plans for a brand new one were scrapped after social media backlash from the U.S. president Donald Trump, among others.
"Congratulations Cracker Barrel on changing your original logo. "All of your fans really appreciate it," Trump told Truth Social following the company's change.
COMCAST
Trump criticised Comcast's cable news network MSNBC over its coverage of his government. Trump told reporters that MSNBC was changing its name to MS NOW because the network's owners were ashamed.
Trump called Comcast "weak, ineffective and headed by Brian Roberts" last week.
SMITHSONIAN INSTITUTION
In anticipation of the U.S. 250th Anniversary, the White House announced that it would lead an internal review for some Smithsonian Museums and Exhibitions. Declaration of Independence.
In an executive directive issued in March, Trump stated that the institution was under the influence of "a divisive, race-centered ideologie" over the past few years.
HARVARD UNIVERSITY
Trump has targeted the oldest and wealthiest university in the United States, canceling federal grants worth $2.5 billion and mounting efforts to stop research funding for Harvard. This is part of an overall campaign to change U.S. Universities, which Trump claims are dominated by antisemitic, "radical-left" ideologies.
We are going to remove Harvard's tax exemption status. "It's what they deserved!" In May, Trump posted a message on his social media platform.
Trump announced on September 30, that his administration is close to reaching a deal with Harvard University, which would include a payment of $500 million by the Ivy League school. This comes after months spent negotiating over policies at schools.
COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY
The Trump administration announced in March that it would cancel $400 million of federal funding for Columbia University because of how the university handled protests last year.
This is just the beginning of many arrests to come. "We know that there are many more students at Columbia University and other Universities in the Country who have engaged pro-terrorists, anti-Semitic and anti-American activities, and the Trump Administration won't tolerate it," Trump wrote in a post on social media.
These comments were made after the arrest Mahmoud Khalil, a Palestinian graduate who was a major participant in the protests.
In July, the University announced that it would pay more than $200 million in settlement to the U.S. Government as part of a deal with Trump's Administration.
LAW FIRMS
Trump issued an executive order in March that restricted access to federal facilities and suspended security clearances of its employees due to their ties with Hillary Clinton and DEI policy.
Trump said that it was an "absolute honor" to sign the order. Trump had also issued a similar order in March against the New York law firm Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison, which he subsequently retracted after reaching a settlement.
In February, the law firm Covington & Burling was confronted with Trump's Presidential Memorandum, which suspended all security clearances of Peter Koski, and Covington employees, who had assisted former Special Counsel Jack Smith in prosecuting Trump.
Covington has said that it will continue to represent Jack Smith in spite of these measures.
Trump said, "We will continue to hold those who are responsible for weaponizing government and who supported this accountable."
THE NEW YORK TIMES PENGUIN RANDOM HOUSE
Trump has filed a $15 Billion lawsuit
defamation lawsuit
In September, he filed a lawsuit against the New York Times as well as book publisher Penguin Random House. He accuses these major media companies of unfairly treating him.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Trump sued
The Wall Street Journal, its owners and employees
Rupert Murdoch was sued in July by the New York Times for $10 billion over a report that revealed that his name appeared on a 2003 greeting to Jeffrey Epstein, which included a sexually explicit drawing and references to secrets that they shared. (Reporting by Deborah Sophia, Juveria Tabassum, Niket Nishant, Shivansh Tiwary, Savyata Mishra, Kritika Lamba, Arsheeya Bajwa, Zaheer Kachwala, Puyaan Singh, Pooja Menon and Dharna Bafna in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'Silva, Sriraj Kalluvila and Arun Koyyur)
(source: Reuters)