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Woodside goes all-in on LNG with brave Tellurian buy: Russell

Australia's. Woodside Energy wishes to turn into one of the world's biggest. independent producers of melted natural gas (LNG).

In itself this is not a bad ambition. However choosing to do so. by taking control of a distressed U.S. LNG task is certainly a brave. way of tackling it. Woodside stated on Monday it has accepted obtain all of. Tellurian for an overall worth of $1.2 billion, consisting of. a cash payment of some $900 million, or $1 per share, a premium. of 75% to the U.S. business's last closing price.

The purchase price is largely irrelevant. What's important. is whether Woodside can take Tellurian's Driftwood LNG task. in Louisiana from its early stages of advancement to its complete. potential of producing 27 million metric heaps a year of the. super-chilled fuel.

Woodside Chief Executive Meg O'Neill told a financier. rundown on Monday the transaction positions Woodside to be a. international LNG powerhouse.

That is true, since if Woodside does successfully establish. the Driftwood job it possibly will end up being the. second-biggest independent LNG producer on the planet, overtaking. incredibly majors such as Shell and Exxon Mobil.

Woodside's present LNG capability - run, equity share and. off-take - stands at about 12.05 million loads per year.

While Driftwood is allowed for 27.6 million lots a year,. Woodside's initial aim will be to quickly advance Phases 1 and. 2, which are awaiting Final Financial investment Choices (FIDs) and have. a combined yearly capability of about 16.5 million lots.

There are numerous engaging factors for Woodside to handle. the Driftwood job. Becoming world-scale is just among. them.

Having a strong existence in the Atlantic basin would permit. Woodside to make the most of arbitrage opportunities between. customers in Europe and in Asia, the two most significant need centres. for LNG.

Woodside likewise has a strong performance history of developing LNG. tasks, consisting of the North West Shelf and Pluto plants in. Western Australia state.

The business no doubt has the technical proficiency to develop. Driftwood, something that Tellurian potentially lacked.

DIFFERENT MODEL

Woodside likewise brings a strong balance sheet and prepares a. somewhat different design of offering LNG from the traditional. U.S. operation.

U.S. LNG plants tend to be tolling operations, where their. earnings is largely originated from a repaired cost for converting. natural gas into LNG, which is then marketed by off-takers.

This frequently indicates long-term off-take offers are needed. before tasks can get sufficient funding to be developed.

This was mainly the problem Tellurian dealt with ahead of time. Driftwood, with preliminary handle buyers such as Shell,. TotalEnergies, Vitol and others stopping working to. be converted into firm agreements.

Woodside intends to improve the value of the Driftwood project by. accessing cheap feedstock from the U.S. gas market,. putting the LNG into its own marketing portfolio, while still. retaining the option for some tolling volumes.

Woodside also intends to bring in what it called top quality. partners, and will target to offer down its equity stake to. around 50%.

To do this, Woodside is going to need to show it can develop. Driftwood in a prompt and affordable manner.

The Perth-based business stated it anticipates development expenses. for Driftwood to be around $900-$ 915 a ton, which would be. around $14.9 billion for the initial capacity of 16.5 million. heaps a year.

Spot LNG prices for delivery to North Asia << LNG-AS > ended at. $ 12.20 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) in the week to. July 19, which is comparable to about $631 a load.

This would indicate a relatively fast recoupment of development. expenses, even accounting for purchasing feedstock and operating. expenditures.

In addition to the threats involved in handling a project. that at finest can be described as having a troubled history,. Woodside is likewise making a massive bet on the future of LNG as. the world transitions far from fossil fuels.

Woodside's view has actually consistently been that LNG is required for. the shift given it is less polluting than coal and. functions well as a peaking fuel to backup variable sustainable. generation from sources such as wind and solar.

Much will depend on what paths are taken by governments,. with the threat that European nations go harder on storage. options such as batteries rather than gas-peaking plants.

LNG can likely remain a force in Asia's energy mix, however this. will mostly be dependent on the fuel being cost-competitive. against coal while not weakening the profitability of LNG. producers.

Disclosure: At the time of publication Clyde Russell owned. Woodside shares as an investor in a fund.

The viewpoints revealed here are those of the author, a. writer .

(source: Reuters)