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Gold prices fall as inflation worries are revived by tensions in the Middle East

Gold prices fall as inflation worries are revived by tensions in the Middle East
Gold prices fall as inflation worries are revived by tensions in the Middle East

Gold prices fell on Thursday, as tensions in the Middle East increased inflation concerns and added uncertainty to 'the trajectory of U.S. Interest Rates.

Spot gold dropped 0.8% per ounce to $4.026.71 by 1132 GMT. U.S. Gold futures fell 0.5% to $4.032.00.

"Gold is still a geopolitical and inflationary product." The continued U.S. attacks against Iran, and the disruptions of the Strait of Hormuz are supporting oil prices and maintaining inflationary risks," said Nikos Tzabouras a senior analyst at Jefferies owned Tradu.com.

After reimposing its naval blockade, the U.S. launched a second wave of attacks against Iran's missile and coastal defense sites. Meanwhile, Iran struck back at U.S. military bases in neighboring countries.

The latest escalation follows a fragile ceasefire that collapsed days ago, fueling concerns about the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil is set to rise by a significant amount each week.

Energy prices are rising, which is fueling inflation fears. This will lead to higher interest rates. Gold's appeal as an asset that does not yield returns will be diminished.

Data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows that traders are pricing in a 51% probability of a rate increase in September.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declared this week his determination to bring down inflation without specifying how.

Data released on Tuesday revealed that U.S. consumer prices fell in June. This prompted spot gold to rise?more than 2 percent immediately following the report. The producer price index also declined according to data released on Wednesday.

The Fed can now relax its policy because the CPI and PPI are no longer as high. This will allow bullion to resume its recovery. This 'cooling of inflation' may be short-lived, as oil prices are expected to rise again. Tzabouras said that a de-escalation of the (peace) negotiations or re-starting them would be best for gold.

Market participants are now awaiting remarks from Dallas Fed president Lorie Logan and Fed vice chair Philip Jefferson. They will speak later today.

Silver spot fell 2.2%, to $56.55 an ounce. Platinum dropped 1.3%, to $1.652.61, while palladium declined 2.3%, to $1.283.63. (Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Diti Pujara)

(source: Reuters)