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As traders reassess Fed interest rate outlook, gold prices will drop for a fourth consecutive week

The gold price rose on Friday as recent U.S. data on inflation weighed down?on the dollar and caused markets to reduce their rate-hike betting.

The bullion price continued to fall for the fourth consecutive week, after falling earlier in the week to a low of more than seven months.

As of 0914 GMT, spot gold was up by 0.3% to $4,038.48 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery? rose 0.2% to $4053.80/oz.

Bullion fell below $4,000 on Wednesday, the first time it has done so since November 2025. It is expected to lose about 2.5% per week as the dollar rose on the same date to its highest level in over a year.

Analyst Ole Hansen of Saxo Bank said that gold is now trading at $4,000 per ounce for the third session in a row. Investor sentiment has been shaken up by "the recent selloff" as markets adjust to a hawkish Fed and a stronger dollar.

The U.S. Dollar held near its recent highs, despite a slight dip. This was after the Fed's preferred measure of inflation on Thursday caused markets to scale back expectations for Fed rate hikes.

CME FedWatch shows that the markets still expect three Federal Reserve interest rate increases this year. This is down from 69% prior to the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure data.

Hansen added that "while the technical breakdown continues weighing on sentiment, continued falls in energy prices and lower?bond yields could eventually reduce the pressure on the Federal Reserve?to tighten policy further, possibly offering?some?support to the precious metal."

Crude oil prices are down more than 2%, as concerns about supply ease after more oil tankers that were stranded in the Strait of Hormuz have left.

Han Tan, chief market analyst at Bybit, stated that a sustained break below $4,000 would allow bears to test the $3,886 level of support. A bearish "death crossing" could also reinforce downward momentum and leave prices vulnerable in the months ahead.

Other metals include?spot gold, which fell 0.01%, to $57.86 an ounce. Platinum gained 0.7%, to $1612.62 and palladium grew nearly 2%, to $1207.96. All metals were heading for a loss. (Reporting from Sumit Saha, Bengaluru. Additional reporting by Swati verma. Editing by Janane Venkatraman.

(source: Reuters)