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ASIA GOLD-Higher prices in India are affecting retail demand; China's gold premiums are widening

This week, India's gold prices increased further. In China, dealers raised premiums over international rates to rekindle retail interest after the holidays.

Indian dealers have charged a premium this week Up to $6 per ounce above official domestic prices, inclusive of 6% import duties and 3% sales taxes. This is below the last week's up to $15 premium.

On?the day the domestic gold price was trading at around 138,000 rupees for 10 grams, which is not far off from the record high of 140,465 rupees.

The rising prices are affecting the jewellery market. "Retail buyers are delaying purchases," Ashok Jain, owner of Mumbai-based wholesaler Chenaji Narsinghji said.

A Mumbai-based dealer of bullion with a private banking company said that jewellers reported?very low footfall' and "only marginal demand" for coins and bars.

Bullion traded in top consumer China at a premium of up to $21 per ounce over the global benchmark spot price This week. This compares to the $3 per ounce premium charged last week.

Bernard Sin, Regional Director, Greater China at MKS PAMP, said: "Physical Gold demand in Asia is showing renewed strength, especially in China and Hong Kong. This is due to tighter supply and retail interest after the holiday season."

The Chinese central bank’s "accumulation" continues to support the market and reinforce the perception that Chinese demand is both cyclical and structural.

In Singapore Gold was sold for a premium of between $1.20 and $2.50 per ounce.

In Hong Kong, gold Bullion is traded in Japan at a premium of $2 to $3. Discounts of up to $6 or a premium of $1 are available.

The benchmark spot gold price for international markets fell on the day but was headed to a weekly increase of over 3%.

"We estimate jewelry?demand dropped by double-digits in 2025, and we suspect that there?will only be a tepid recover at best in the years 2026 and 2027," HSBC's James Steel stated.

He added that "with prices over $4,000/oz the demand has further eroded."

Even a significant retracement of prices may not be enough to stimulate significantly more demand, as the trend towards lighter items and substitution to platinum jewellery is likely to continue. $1 = 90,1250 Indian Rupees (Reporting from Ishaan Jadhav and Rajendra Jadhav respectively in Bengaluru and Mumbai; Additional reporting provided by Swati verma; Editing done by Sumana Niandy).

(source: Reuters)