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Gold falls to a one-week low after traders reduce US rate cuts bets

Gold falls to a one-week low after traders reduce US rate cuts bets
Gold falls to a one-week low after traders reduce US rate cuts bets

The price of gold fell to its lowest level in over a week Tuesday, as faded bets that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates next month weakened demand before delayed U.S. Economic Data releases this week.

As of 1213 GMT spot gold was down 0.1% to $4,039.71 an ounce, after reaching its lowest level since November 10, earlier in the session.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell by 0.9% to $4.039 an ounce.

Market participants are pricing in interest rate reductions for the United States following more hawkish remarks from Fed officials, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Gold prices are expected to drop soon as the Fed is still cutting rates multiple times in the next quarters and central banks continue to diversify into gold.

The CME FedWatch tool revealed that the markets have reduced their bets on a rate reduction next month from 67% to just under 46%.

Last week's end of the longest U.S. shutdown resulted in a stoppage of official economic data. This left policymakers and traders blind before next month’s Fed policy meeting.

The traders had hoped that the return of official data could make the case for an interest rate cut in December, but their hopes have faded since more Fed officials signaled caution last week.

Fed Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson said that on Monday, the central bank must "proceed gradually" with further rate reductions.

Gold that does not yield tends to perform well when interest rates are low and in times of economic uncertainty.

Investors will look for additional clues in the release of minutes on Wednesday from the Fed's most recent meeting, and the September non-farm payrolls that are due Thursday.

"We continue to see a long-term positive fundamental backdrop for the gold market." "The U.S. economic climate continues to cool. U.S. rates will fall, and the U.S. currency should weaken in response," said Julius Baer's Carsten Menke.

Palladium rose 0.7%, to $1,402.73, while platinum edged up marginally at $1,534.30. (Reporting and editing by Alexander Smith, Emelia Matarise and Jan Harvey; reporting by Noel John from Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)