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Investors focus on US data as gold prices fall

The gold price fell on Monday as a result of the stronger dollar, and investors' reduced expectations for a U.S. rate cut in January. Investors were also awaiting delayed economic data that could provide clues about the Federal Reserve policy.

As of 1:45 pm, spot gold was down by 0.3%, at $4,068.37 an ounce. ET (18:45 GMT). U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery settled 0.5% lower, at $4.074.5 an ounce.

Dollar-priced gold is now more expensive for holders of currencies other than the dollar.

David Meger said that there is "some choppy trading" on the market ahead of what will be expected to be an avalanche of economic data, now that the U.S. Government has reopened.

"Right Now, there is a lower expectation of additional Fed rate reductions, which has dented gold's optimism."

The calendar for this week includes the September jobs data, which will be released on Thursday, and the minutes of Fed's most recent meeting, in which it lowered rates by 25 basis points, on Wednesday.

A growing number of Fed policymakers are hawkish about rate cuts at the next central bank meeting in December.

The CME FedWatch tool revealed that traders are now pricing in a probability of 41% for a rate cut of 25 basis points in December. This is down from 60% last week.

Four Fed speakers are scheduled to speak in the afternoon, including Governor Christopher Waller, and New York Fed president John Williams.

Gold is an asset that does not yield any interest, so it tends to do well in low-interest rate environments.

Analysts at Scotiabank estimate that gold prices will be $3,800/oz in 2026 compared to $3,450/oz currently, citing an uncertain economy and a possible decline in interest rates.

Palladium fell 0.9% and platinum 0.2%, while spot silver increased 0.6%. (Reporting from Bengaluru by Pablo Sinha; Additional reporting by Sarah Qureshi, Editing by Shilpa Majumdar).

(source: Reuters)