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Gold falls on optimism about US-China trade negotiations; Fed decision eyed

Gold prices dropped more than 1% Wednesday, as the hopes of trade talks between China and the United States weighed on this safe-haven precious metal before the Federal Reserve's rate decision that day.

As of 0816 GMT the spot gold price was down by 1.2%, to $3,386.23 per ounce, following a steep rise in the previous session.

U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.8% to $3394.90. Zain Vawda is an analyst at MarketPulse, who said that reports of a possible meeting between U.S. officials and Chinese officials in this week could boost sentiment if confirmed.

This weekend, U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent, and chief trade negotiator Jamieson Grieer will meet with top Chinese official He Lifeng in Switzerland to discuss tariffs.

Last month, both the U.S. imposed tit for tat tariffs on China, sparking a trade conflict that inflamed global recessionary concerns, causing investors to seek refuge in safe haven assets like gold.

The focus of the market now shifts towards the Fed's policy announcement at 18:00 GMT. Investors will be looking for signs of future rate cuts. The central bank has been widely expected to maintain rates at their current level.

According to CME FedWatch Tool, the markets now indicate only a 30% probability of a Fed rate reduction in June.

In an environment of low interest rates, gold, which is traditionally seen as a hedge to economic and political uncertainty, thrives.

India launched a geopolitical attack on Pakistan and Pakistani Kashmir, and Pakistan claimed to have shot down five Indian fighter planes. This was the most intense fighting between two nuclear-armed adversaries in over two decades.

Vawda stated that if the friction between India, Pakistan and other countries escalates to a more serious conflict then gold will likely attract an increased demand for safe havens, which would support prices even further.

Other than that, silver fell 0.8% at $32.96 per ounce. Platinum declined 0.2% to $983.06, and palladium remained steady at $974.43.

(source: Reuters)