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ECB policymakers promise market stability, but they see big growth hits

Policymakers at the ECB said that the European Central Bank was prepared to maintain financial stability in the event of future market turmoil, but that the sector, which includes hedge funds, appeared well-prepared for the recent rout.

Stocks have plummeted since U.S. president Donald Trump announced his tariffs. The dollar has also weakened, and U.S. Treasuries have been sold overnight. This has raised fears that the market turmoil could escalate, causing a global financial crisis.

Francois Villeroy De Galhau, the French Central Bank's chief, said that the Bank of France and European Central Bank were fully mobilized to ensure financial stability and a well-financed (eurozone) economy.

They monitor to ensure the financial system has good liquidity, even in times of market pressure.

Some economists are concerned that the stress could be coming from shadow banks such as hedge funds which are regulated more easily and don't have access to central banking liquidity facilities.

However, the data to date indicates that they are doing well.

Klaas Knot is the Dutch central bank's head and chair of the Financial Stability Board. He said that the market has so far been functioning normally.

The hedge fund industry had already delevered. They saw it coming. They were able to meet the margin calls. This was not possible in previous episodes.

Sources close to the ECB claim that the tariffs will still have a significant impact on the Eurozone. The growth rate is expected to be much lower than the earlier prediction of a half-percentage point.

The ECB could release new estimates during the policy meeting next week.

Some policymakers believe that a single rate cut would be sufficient to justify another next week. This would be the seventh rate cut by the ECB in the last year.

In a speech, Olli Rhn, the head of the Finnish central bank said that many risks identified in March have either materialised or continue to materialise.

"Based on my overall assessment of inflation, growth and rate reductions at the April meeting I think the case has strengthened clearly."

Rehn's speech came after a number of policymakers including Villeroy, and Piero Cipollone (ECB board member) had already argued in favor of more policy easing.

The markets are fully pricing an April move, and will see another reduction in June. This will be followed by a further step or two this year.

Jose Luis Escriva is the head of the Spanish Central Bank. He said that it was still too early to speak of recession. However, the U.S. Tariff Blitz will result in a disruption in supply. "A very harsh one," he added, adding that this could lead to a sharp fall in economic activity, or even a slowdown, in countries like Spain.

The ECB will convene again on April 17, but there are likely to be informal discussions this week, in Warsaw on the sidelines a gathering of finance ministers and central bank governors. Reporting by Balazs Coranyi, Francesco Canepa and Leigh Thomas; Editing by Mark Heinrich.

(source: Reuters)