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As US tariffs against China reach 104%, the offshore yuan is nearing a record low.

Investors worried about the intensifying Sino-U.S. tensions, and 104% tariffs that are coming to China.

Analysts say the yuan's decline this week is due to the intensification of a trade conflict between the two world's largest economies and the loosening of the central bank's grip on the currency.

In volatile trading, the yuan last moved 0.4% higher to 7.3955 on the offshore market. It had fallen more than 1% the previous day and hit its lowest level ever at 7.4288.

The United States announced on Tuesday that duties of 104% on imports from China would take effect shortly after midnight. At the same time, the Trump administration was moving quickly to start negotiations with other trading partners who are targeted by his tariff plan.

The move in the dollar-CNH overnight is material. It was triggered by the fact that Trump will move forward with additional tariffs against China, said Carol Kong.

Kong predicts that the offshore yuan will reach a low point of 7,7 per dollar at the end of third quarter. However, he said this level could be achieved earlier "if both the U.S.

The People's Bank of China set the midpoint exchange rate, around which the onshore currency yuan can trade within a 2% range, at 7,2066 per US dollar on Wednesday. This is the lowest level since September 11th 2023.

On Tuesday, the onshore yuan fell to a low of $7.3402 per $1 and finished the session slightly lower at $7.3390.

The yuan has lost over 1% in value against the dollar this month. This is a slight decline for the entire year. Fears of the impact of U.S. Tariffs on the economy have pushed the yuan down.

Exports would be cheaper, and some pressure from China's economy and trade would be relieved. However, a rapid decline in the yuan could cause unwanted capital outflows and threaten financial stability.

(source: Reuters)