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In 2 days, Indian stocks lost $180 billion due to fears of a US trade war

Indian stocks lost $180 billion of market value over the past two days after U.S. president Donald Trump announced he would impose reciprocal tariffs against several countries. Many analysts believe the fifth largest economy in the world could be the worst affected.

Blue-chip NSE Nifty 50 index and BSE Sensex index fell 1.32% Tuesday, and have fallen a little over 2% the last two sessions. The mid-cap and smaller-cap indexes, which are more focused on domestic companies, have fallen by a greater 5%.

Around 87% of the 2,918 shares listed at the National Stock Exchange fell on the day. Market cap has dropped to $4.67 trillion, down from $4.85 trillion the previous two sessions.

The outrage began after Trump announced on Sunday that, later this week he would announce reciprocal tariffs against all countries who impose duties on U.S. products.

Trump's top economist has stated that India has "enormously" high tariffs. Analysts say that India is vulnerable to a reciprocal U.S. trade tariff, Morgan Stanley and Citi both estimating an increase of between 4-6 percentage points.

India is likely to be the hardest hit among Asian countries. Due to its large tariff differentials, India is highly vulnerable to potential U.S. retaliatory levies.

Since November 25, when Trump threatened tariffs for the first time, Nifty has dropped 4.7%. This is a much greater drop than two of Trump’s main targets through tariffs - China, up 1.7% and Canada, up 1%. Only Mexico's 5,4% decline is greater than India's.

Aluri said that "the markets are now looking forward to the meeting between (Indian PM Narendra) Modi and Trump, which is scheduled for later this week in hopes of any exemptions."

Modi, in order to avoid a possible trade war with the United States, is planning tariff reductions and will likely propose an increase in energy and defense imports before his two-day visit beginning on Wednesday.

Sonal Verma is the chief economist of Nomura. She said that if tariffs are imposed they will likely hurt exports like electrical and industrial machines, gems and jewelry, pharmaceuticals iron and steel textiles vehicles apparel and chemicals.

Each of the 13 largest sectors in stocks fell by at least 1%. The two sectors most exposed to the U.S., pharma and information technology, fell by 1.9% and 1.5 %, respectively.

(source: Reuters)