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Sumitomo Metal projections broadening worldwide nickel supply surplus in 2025

The worldwide nickel market is poised for a larger surplus next year, driven by continued production growth in Indonesia, Japan's largest nickel smelter Sumitomo Metal Mining stated on Wednesday.

The surplus will broaden to 104,000 metric tons from 86,000 heaps this year as Indonesia's output of low-grade nickel pig iron is expected to rise by 11.3% to 1.67 million lots, SMM stated throughout its half-year market outlook discussion.

The nation's production of top-quality nickel is likewise projection to grow, it included.

Global need for the metal in 2025 was seen increasing by 7.1% from this year to 3.55 million loads, while supply was likely to climb 7.4% to 3.65 million heaps, SMM stated.

Supply and demand in a lower pureness form of so-called Class 2 nickel is anticipated to be roughly balanced next year in spite of higher NPI supply from Indonesia, SMM executive officer Yusuke Niwa stated.

But we anticipate a surplus in (the almost-pure) Class 1 nickel due to output expansion by Indonesia's brand-new smelters, he said.

Nickel is mostly utilized in the stainless-steel sector, but is also a crucial part in lithium-ion batteries that power electric automobiles, where need is set to surge in the coming years.

SMM, which supplies cathode products for the Panasonic lithium-ion batteries utilized in Tesla EVs, predicts that international demand for nickel utilized in batteries will grow to around 520,000 lots in 2025 from about 470,000 tons this year.

Nevertheless, Niwa expressed care about the outlook, keeping in mind: The EV market environment looks rather difficult, other than in China.

While we anticipate next year's need to grow by 50,000 tons from this year ... there is a possibility it might fall short of that projection, he added.

(source: Reuters)