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Shanghai Aluminium hits 2026 Low on Lower Middle East Risk Premium

Aluminum prices fell on Thursday as the Middle East war-risk premium faded, as the fragile peace in?region continued to hold.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract fell 2.75% to?22.825 yuan (3,354.55) per ton after?falling?to an earlier 2026 record low price of 22.665 yuan per ton.

The benchmark three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange was up 0.13% to $3,126.5 per metric ton at 0339 GMT. This marks an 8% decline since the beginning of the week.

As ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz, prices for the light metal fell this week. A fragile peace seemed to hold.

The aluminium market had a sharply increased risk premium due to disruptions in freight and higher energy prices from the Middle East conflict.

Brent crude oil fell by 1.82%. Middle East supply is increasing quickly, and Iran is expected to boost its sales after a temporary reprieve of U.S. sanctions.

Aluminium's production cost is also expected to decrease due to lower energy costs. For its high energy intensity, the metal is often called "congealed electric".

Base metals were impacted by global economic headwinds. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to increase interest rates in this year due to persistent inflationary pressures.

Investors are now waiting for the U.S. Personal Consumption Spending data?will provide further clues about monetary policy.

As they dampen economic activity, higher interest rates hurt industrial minerals that are dependent on growth.

This week, the outlook for growth was also clouded by the underperformance of technology stocks.

Copper has been able to benefit from the projections that demand will increase due to AI infrastructure, grid investments and electric vehicles.

Benchmark LME 3-month copper rose 0.35% while the most traded SHFE?contract fell by 1.82%.

Zinc fell 0.09% on the LME, while lead rose?0.29%. Nickel gained 0.64%, and tin grew 1.65%.

The SHFE saw a drop of 1.64% in zinc, 0.72% in lead, 0.92% for nickel and 1.76% for tin. ($1 = 6.8042 Chinese Yuan Renminbi) Reporting by Solomon Cefai, Editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar

(source: Reuters)