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Gold prices rise as the dollar weakens, and traders consider US rate cuts

The gold price rose on Tuesday from its one-week low, boosted by a weaker US dollar and weaker U.S. job numbers. Investors viewed the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, ahead of delayed U.S. economic data this week.

As of 10:15 am, spot gold was up by 0.4% to $4,059.39 an ounce. ET (1515 GMT), having hit its lowest level since November 10, earlier in the session. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell 0.4% to $4,509.20 per ounce.

Dollar-priced gold is now affordable to holders of other currencies, as the index has fallen by 0.2%.

The data released on Tuesday revealed that the number Americans receiving unemployment benefits reached a two-month-high in mid-October. In the week ending October 18, the claims for continued benefits rose to 1.9 millions.

The data is slightly increasing market expectations for a rate cut in December. The data is helping silver and gold, which are trying break a 3-day losing streak," said Tai Wong an independent metals dealer.

The CME FedWatch tool shows that the markets now expect a 50% probability of a rate reduction at the December meeting. This is up from the 46% they had earlier in the morning, but down from the 67% seen last week.

Gold is a non-yielding investment that tends to perform well when rates are low. Prices dropped over 3% on both Friday and Monday, as investors reduced their bets that another rate cut would occur this year.

The markets are now awaiting the minutes of the Fed's most recent meeting, which is due on Wednesday, as well as the September jobs data, which will be released on Thursday. Both have been delayed because of the U.S. Government shutdown.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank wrote in a report that they expect the elevated official demand for Gold to continue into the near future. "This supports a bullish strategy and an upward revision to our average forecast of USD 4,00/oz next year," they said.

Other than that, silver spot rose by 0.4%, to $50.4 an ounce. Platinum fell almost 1%, at $1.518.15, while palladium declined 0.6%, at $1.385.18. (Reporting from Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru and Kavya Baliaraman; editing by Ed Osmond.)

(source: Reuters)