Latest News

Investors focus on US data as gold prices fall

The gold price fell on Monday as a result of the stronger dollar, and investors' reduced expectations for a U.S. rate cut in January. Investors were also awaiting delayed economic data that could provide clues about the Federal Reserve policy.

As of 11:40 am, spot gold was down by 0.2%, at $4,070.43 an ounce. ET (1640 GMT). U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery eased 0.5%, to $4.072.30 an ounce.

Dollar-priced gold is now more expensive for holders of currencies other than the dollar.

David Meger said that there is "some choppy trading" on the market ahead of what will be expected to become a flood of economic data, now that the U.S. Government has reopened.

"Right Now, there is a lower expectation of additional Fed rate reductions, which has dented gold's optimism."

The Fed minutes of its last meeting where they cut rates by 25 basis point are scheduled for Wednesday. Also on the calendar this week is September's jobs data, which will be released on Thursday. A growing number of Fed policymakers are hawkish about rate cuts at the next central bank meeting in December.

The CME FedWatch tool shows that traders are now pricing in a probability of 41% for a rate cut of 25 basis points in December. This is down from 60% last week. The CME FedWatch tool shows that at least four Fed speakers are scheduled to speak in the afternoon, including Governor Christopher Waller, and New York Fed president John Williams.

Gold is an asset that does not yield any interest, so it tends to do well in low-interest rate environments.

Analysts at Scotiabank estimate that gold prices will be $3,800/oz in 2026, up from $3,450/oz currently. They cite uncertain economic conditions as well as a possible decline in interest rates.

(Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpa Majumdar) (Reporting and editing by Shilpi Mahumdar in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)