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Gold rallys to record highs on US government shutdown and Fed rate cuts

Gold prices reached a new record on Wednesday. A weaker dollar, and the demand for safe-haven assets amid a U.S. Government shutdown, boosted gold's price. Meanwhile, softer employment data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates this month.

As of 9:16 am, spot gold rose 0.2%, to $3,866.10 an ounce. After hitting a high of $3.895.09 in the earlier session, gold prices rose 0.2% to $3.866.10 per ounce at 09:16 a.m. ET (1055 GMT).

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery gained 0.5% to $ 3,892.80.

Dollar-priced Gold is now more affordable to overseas buyers as the dollar has weakened in comparison with a basket other major currencies.

Edward Meir, Marex analyst, said: "The dollar is under pressure. Usually when the U.S. government shuts down the mood becomes quite negative and the dollar as well as the U.S. stock markets suffer."

The dollar will also be hurt by the soft ADP job report. Another reason is that a slowing economy and lower interest rates are all bullish for gold.

After a downwardly-revised 3,000 job loss in August, private payrolls in the United States decreased by 32,000 in September. The economists polled had predicted a rise in private employment of 50,000 after a previous report of 54,000 jobs.

After partisan disagreements prevented Congress from reaching an agreement on funding, the U.S. federal government shut down major parts of its operations. This could put thousands of federal jobs in danger.

The shutdown may delay the release key economic indicators including the highly anticipated non-farm payrolls report (NFP), scheduled for Friday.

Gold, which is a non-yielding asset and considered a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, thrives when interest rates are low.

CME FedWatch Tool shows that investors are pricing a 99% probability of a rate reduction this month.

SP Angel stated in a report that "we are now seeing an increased appetite from Western Investors, both institutionally and retail. As a case of FOMO kicks in... If this trend continues, we wouldn't be surprised if gold prices broke above $4,000/oz."

Silver spot gained 1,4%, reaching $47.33 an ounce - a record high for more than 14 years. Palladium fell 1.4% to $1,239.97, while platinum dropped 0.5% to 1,566.30. Noel John in Bengaluru and John Biju report.

(source: Reuters)