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Analyst Mistry claims that India's edible oils imports will reach a record high due to increased palm oil buying.
Dorab Mistry, an industry analyst, said that India's edible oils imports are expected to increase 4.6% in 2025/26 to a new record of 17.1 million metric tonnes, driven by increased palm oil purchases from the world's biggest vegetable oil buyer. India's increased palm oil purchases will encourage top producers Indonesia and Malaysia to reduce their stocks and support Malaysian palm futures benchmark. Mistry, a speaker at the Globoil India industry conference, told delegates that palm oil imports will likely jump by 13.4% in the next marketing year to 9.3 millions tons. Soyoil imports may drop to 5 million tonnes. Mistry stated that the imports of sunflower oil in the new season will likely fall to 2.7 millions tons from 3,000,000 tons this year. India imports mainly palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia, while also importing soyoil, sunflower oil, and other oils from Argentina, Brazil and Ukraine. Mistry stated that the growth of palm oil production is slowing down, with a projected increase in 2025/26 of only 1 million tonnes, despite a rise in demand for biofuels and food. He said that Malaysian palm futures will rise after the peak production period in October. They could even surpass 5,000 Ringgit ($1,185 a ton) in November and December. Prices could continue to rise, with a potential high of more than 3,500 ringgit per tonne in January-March 20,26 due to tightening supplies caused by the increased consumption of biodiesel in Indonesia, a major producer. On Friday, the benchmark palm oil contract on Bursa Malaysia's Derivatives exchange for December delivery fell 43 ringgit or 0.97% to 4,396 Ringgit per ton.
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Kremlin refuses to discuss reported European threats to shoot down Russian military aircraft
The Kremlin refused to comment on a Bloomberg article that claimed that European diplomats privately warned Moscow about NATO's readiness to shoot down any Russian aircraft that violated European airspace. Bloomberg reported that officials familiar with the conversation said the British, French, and German envoys delivered the warning during a meeting in Moscow. When asked how Russia would react if NATO shot down an Russian plane, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov replied: "You don't want to even talk about this. It's a really irresponsible comment." He said: "It is very irresponsible, because the accusations that Russia's military aircraft intruded on someone else's sky and violated their airspace are unfounded." "No convincing evidence has yet been presented." NATO claims that Russian fighter jets violated Estonian Airspace last week.
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Raw cat food is dangerous for cats and their owners
According to an analysis, commercial raw cat foods, especially those sold at room temperature on the shelves, can pose a significant health risk for cats and their families. Researchers reported in Communications Biology that the analysis found disease-causing bacteria, including some resistant to antibiotics. In a press release, Laura Goodman from Cornell University stated that "most of these products do not have warning labels that indicate that the meat ingredients in them are not fully boiled. This could mean that they harbor bacteria that is still alive and possibly viruses and parasites which would make a whole family sick." Researchers found Salmonella and E. coli on raw or partially-cooked meat that was sold in frozen, chilled or freeze-dried form in supermarkets and online. Goodman stated that "especially for freeze-dried foods sold on shelves, the consumers are likely unaware of this risk." The researchers also discovered antibiotic-resistant pseudomonas bacteria, which can cause life-threatening infections of the lungs, blood, and urinary system. They also found Klebsiella bacteria, which can cause fatigue, fever, and chills. It can even cause pneumonia or urinary tract infection. Researchers said that these pathogens could be transmitted from pets to people. They are especially dangerous for children and pregnant women, as well as older adults and those with compromised immune systems. Researchers also point out that in previous studies, antibiotic-resistant bacteria strains were found in dog food. Goodman stated that when the researchers uploaded their results from their cat food study into a federal database "there were in fact some human cases which were genetically similar ...,", revealing that potentially people were sickened by the same products that were studied. Researchers said that although the U.S. Food and Drug Administration tests for a small number of bacteria, this paper shows a larger range of pathogens. This information could be used by the agency to develop future policies. KILLING PAIN W/OUT AFFECTING HELPFUL IMMUNO RESPONSE Researchers suggested that painkillers over the counter could be replaced with alternatives that would control pain while preventing inflammation. This paper may lead to a change in how pain medications are designed. NSAIDs (non-steroidal antiinflammatory drugs) are the most common pain medication in the world. They include aspirin, ibuprofen and others. They block the enzymes that create prostaglandins. These work with the immune systems to promote inflammation. Prostaglandins can also increase the sensitivity of nerve endings to pain signals. Scientists generally believe that reducing or preventing inflammation is the best way to treat pain. Inflammation - the immune response to an injury or infection – can be beneficial and inhibiting this might delay healing and recovery. Researchers have found, as reported in Nature Communications that a protein present on the surface prostaglandins called the EP2 receptor is responsible for pain, but not inflammation. Researchers found that delivering drugs to silence the EP2 receptor alone reduced pain in mice, without affecting inflammation. Inflammation is good for your health, as it restores and repairs normal function," Pierangelo Geppetti, study author at the Pain Research Center of New York University said in a press release. "To our great surprise, blocking the EP2 receptor... abolished prostaglandin-mediated pain but the inflammation took its normal course. Geppetti stated that they had "effectively decoupled inflammation from pain". Researchers are investigating whether drugs that target EP2 receptors could be used to reduce pain associated with conditions such as arthritis, which would normally be treated by NSAIDs. TINY CAPSULES FIGHT INFLAMMATION OF THE BRAIN Researchers are working on tiny bioengineered capsules to fight brain inflammation without triggering the immune system. Inflammation can be beneficial in some cases, for example, to promote wound healing. However, inflammation of the brain has been linked with disabling conditions like Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease. Bioengineers and Neuroscientists have developed a soft gel-like capsule about the size and shape of a grain sand. These capsules can be used to implant human brain cells, called astrocytes, into the brain. According to a report published in Biomaterials, the capsules contain astrocytes that secrete a protein known as interleukin-1 antagonist to the outside environment. This anti-inflammatory substance reduces inflammation in test tubes and the brains in mice. The capsules are designed to form a barrier between the astrocytes implanted and the brain tissue. This will allow the astrocytes to secrete anti-inflammatory protein while preventing immune rejection and unwanted brain migration, according a press release from Robert Krencik at Houston Methodist Research Institute. In a press release, Rice University's Omid Veiseh said that "encapsulating cells" in a manner to shield them from immune rejection has been a major challenge. The full newsletter is available for free by signing up here. (Reporting and editing by Bill Berkrot; Reporting by Nancy Lapid)
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The tough job of Fed gets even harder
What will the ROI team be reading, watching and listening to this weekend? Hello Morning Bid readers! Yesterday, the job of U.S. Federal Reserve became a little more difficult. The first was the news that the second quarter GDP had been revised upwards to 3.8%. This is now the fastest growth rate since 3Q2023. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, announced new tariffs including 100% levies for branded drugs as well as 25% tariffs for heavy-duty trucks. Details are unclear, and there will be certain exemptions. However, the combination of resilient growth and possible price increases calls into question expectations of aggressive monetary easing. Markets had previously priced in a probability of more than 80% that a 50 basis-point cut would be implemented by December. This has now dropped to about 60%. The PCE inflation figures will be released later today. Even if policy rates continue to fall, as is expected, inflation fears, fiscal concerns, and political uncertainty could cause the long end of curve to rise. Joachim Klement is an investment strategist with Panmure Liberum. He believes that this could be bad news to the AI boom. Central bank watchers were also treated to a number of Fed officials' talks this week. These included Chair Jerome Powell and Governor Stephen Miran as well as San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic spoke also on the Market Musings Podcast, suggesting that Fed should replace the 2% target with a range and abandon the "illusion" of precision. In the commodities market, much attention was focused on Ukrainian drone attacks on Russia's infrastructure. Ron Bousso, ROI Energy columnist, argues that these attacks could raise President Trump's ire if they are successful. Clyde Russell, columnist for ROI Asia Commodities, says that the future of seaborne coking coal looks increasingly divided between robust domestic markets such as China, India, and Indonesia, and a slowly fading seaborne industry. Gavin Maguire, ROI Energy Transition columnist, explains which countries will likely play the largest role in determining the future trends of pollution, beyond China. Andy Home, ROI Metals columnist, explains the reasons why traders believe that the nickel prices have hit a rock-bottom. Check out what the ROI team recommends you read, watch, and listen to as we enter the weekend. Stay informed and prepared for the coming week. Please contact me via Sign up for the newsletter to receive Morning Bid every morning in your email. Subscribe to the Morning Bid newsletter Website You can find us on LinkedIn. The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is bound by the Trust Principles to maintain integrity, independence and neutrality. (By Anna Szymanski.)
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Belarus claims it can supply nuclear energy in parts of Ukraine that are controlled by Russia
Belarus has proposed to build a nuclear plant in the eastern part of the country, which could provide electricity to parts of Ukraine controlled by Russia. President Alexander Lukashenko announced this on Friday. Lukashenko brought up the idea with Russian President Vladimir Putin during Kremlin discussions in Moscow. Lukashenko used the same language as Moscow to describe the territory of Ukraine that was captured by Russia. The offer highlighted the close relationship between Putin and Lukashenko even though U.S. president Donald Trump pursues an incentive-based strategy to encourage the Belarusian leaders to release political prisoners and improve relationships with the West. Putin replied that "financing was not a problem at all." It's no problem if there is a customer who will pay for electricity. Belarus is an ally of Moscow, and it has supported its war in Ukraine. It even allowed Putin's troops the use its territory in 2022 to enter Ukraine. Putin has met Lukashenko the most often of any foreign leader. Reporting by Mark Trevelyan, Lucy Papachristou and Andrew Osborn.
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IRNA reports that Iran and Russia have signed a $25 billion agreement to build four nuclear reactors in Iran.
IRNA, the Iranian news agency, reported on Friday that Iran had signed a 25 billion dollar agreement with Rosatom, Russia's nuclear state corporation to build four nuclear plants in Iran. Rosatom had previously stated that it signed a Memorandum of Understanding on Wednesday regarding the construction of small nucleo-power plants in Iran, but did not give a number. The Iranian official news agency IRNA said that the agreement for construction of Generation III plants in the Sirik area of the south-eastern province of Hormozgan will generate 5,000 Megawatts of electric power. The MOU has been signed in Moscow. Iran has only one nuclear power plant operating in Bushehr, a city located in the south of the country. This plant was built by Russia, and it has a 1 GW capacity. Russia has good relations with Iran, and in June it condemned the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. Israel claimed, without proving it, that Iran is on the brink of acquiring nuclear arms. Iran denies that it has such an intention. Reporting by Jana Choukeir, Ahmed Elimam and Alison Williams; editing by Gareth Jones and Alison Williams
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Copper prices fall as Grasberg's rally impacts demand
The price of copper fell on Friday, as the rally this week -- driven by concerns about supply following an accident in the second-largest mine in the world -- affected demand. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.6%, to $10.202.50 per metric ton at 0947 GMT. After a disruption in the Grasberg Mine in Indonesia, analysts have lowered their forecasts of global supply for 2025 and 2020. Indonesia's government has reached an agreement with Freeport Indonesia, to stop operations at the mine in order to prioritize the search for trapped employees, said the country's Mining Minister on Friday. This confirms a previous update from Freeport-McMoRan. Alice Fox, Macquarie's commodities strategist, says that the drop in Grasberg supply will reduce the global surplus of copper Macquarie Group forecasted for 2025 and 2030, but it will not be sufficient to turn the market into a deficiency. Fox said that "this should support higher prices over the short-term, as compared to our previous forecasts. However, prices may struggle to remain above $10,000 per ton." The yuan, which is heading for its largest weekly decline in two months against dollar, added another layer of pressure to copper. China is the largest metal consumer in the world. Dollar-priced materials are more expensive to Chinese buyers before the national holiday. This is from October 1-8 this year. The Shanghai Futures Exchange monitored copper inventories in Chinese warehouses, which fell 6.6% last week. Yangshan premium on copper also decreased. The price of copper, which reflects the demand for imported copper into China, has stabilised at $53 per ton. This is its lowest level in a month. Aluminium fell by 0.2%, to $2.653.50 per ton. Zinc lost 0.8%, to $2.901, while lead dropped 0.4%, to $2.007; tin remained at $34,360 and nickel dropped 0.2%, to $15,245. (Reporting and editing by Kirby Donovan; Additional reporting by Dylan Duan)
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Three dead in Philippines as tropical storm Bualoi sweeps across the country
Three people have died in the Philippines following a tropical storm that intensified to a typhoon and hit land late Thursday. This comes days after the super typhoon which struck the north. In many parts of the Philippines, including Metro Manila, classes and government work were suspended in advance of Tropical Storm Bualoi. The storm hit just days after Super Typhoon Ragasa, which left a path of destruction in the Philippines' northern region, killing at least 14 people, before making a mess in Taiwan where 15 people were killed. The latest storm hit Eastern Samar, in central Philippines. It then crossed into Masbate before sweeping across the Bicol region of southern Luzon. Officials from the disaster agency said that three deaths occurred in Masbate Province. The first was killed by a falling branch, the second drowned and the third died when a wall fell. In a press briefing, Masbate Governor Antonio Kho appealed to the central government for immediate assistance, citing an urgent need to remove debris, restore electricity and reopen the ports to allow aid to be delivered. Local officials in other parts of Southern Luzon reported that heavy rains, winds and power outages caused damage to crops, infrastructure and infrastructure. JC Borromeo of Manila, along with his three kids, was evacuated in advance of the Bualoi earthquake, locally called Opong. While carrying his child, he said: "We live right by the river corner and it would be hard when the water rose." Bualoi is expected to intensify again into a typhoon as it moves towards Vietnam. It has maximum wind speeds of up to 110 kph with gusts reaching 135 kph. The Vietnamese government announced that the storm, which is moving fast, would strike the northern and central coasts of the country on Monday. It will also bring torrential rainfall from September 28-30. In a Friday statement, the National Weather Agency warned that heavy rains may cause flooding in low lying areas as well as in urban and industrial areas. The agency says that rain could reach 150 millimetres in some areas within 24 hours. Reporting by Karen Lema in Manila and Adrian Portugal; Additional reporting in Vietnam by Khanh Vu; Editing by David Stanway
Gold prices rise as US GDP data is positive and dampens bets on rate cuts; PCE focussed
The price of gold held steady Friday, as investors waited for key inflation data to be released later that day. Better-than-expected U.S. economic data dampened expectations of more rate cuts in the U.S.
As of 0817 GMT, spot gold remained at $3,749.24 an ounce. The metal is up 1.9% this week and reached a record-high of $3,790.82 Tuesday.
U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.2% to $3.779.40.
The data released on Thursday revealed that the U.S. economic growth was faster than expected in the second quarter. Meanwhile, weekly unemployment claims decreased.
Han Tan, Chief Market Analyst at Nemo.money, said, "Gold has held steady in the mid-$3,700 range, given the latest demonstration of resilience by the U.S. Economy. Bets on Fed rate reductions by the end of 2025 have been pared by up to 18 percentage points.
CME FedWatch Tool shows that investors now expect a rate cut in October and December of 87% and 62% respectively. This is down from 91% & 76% before the data.
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure is the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data due at 1230 GMT.
A poll suggests that the report may show an increase of 0.3% from month to month and 2.7% on a year-to-year basis in August.
The markets do not expect a wild performance from the PCE numbers, which suggests that inflation is still under control. Tan said that if they are higher than expected, it could cause gold to fall.
In times of geopolitical or economic uncertainty, safe-haven gold bullion flourishes.
On the trade front President Trump announced that a new round of tariffs would be imposed on imports of drugs, trucks, and furniture beginning October 1. Silver fell by 0.5% at $45.01 an ounce. Platinum jumped by 0.6% to $1.539.44, hovering near a 12-year-high, while palladium remained steady at $1.250.40. All three metals were on track for gains this week. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonia Cheema)
(source: Reuters)