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Rate-cut betting, geopolitical tensions and gold hold near record highs

Rate-cut betting, geopolitical tensions and gold hold near record highs

Gold prices increased on Wednesday, trading near the record high reached in the previous session. Growing expectations of more interest rate cuts in America and heightened geopolitical uncertainties boosted demand for this safe-haven.

As of 0743 GMT spot gold was up 0.4% to $3,778.78 an ounce after reaching a record-high of $3,790.82 earlier in the day.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery declined by 0.1% to $3.812.10.

After Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chair, made cautious remarks about further monetary easing on Tuesday, the S&P 500 fell 0.6%. This was its largest one-day drop in three weeks.

Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank. He said that "the rally is fuelled by lower U.S. financing costs along with a cocktail investor concerns including overvalued stocks, Fed independence and mounting geopolitical risk."

Powell stated that the central banks would continue to balance the concerns about the weak labour market with the rising inflation concerns, while Fed officials expressed their views on both sides of monetary policy's path.

Investors are now looking ahead to the U.S. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, the Fed’s preferred inflation indicator, will be released on Friday. This index is a good gauge of future rate cuts.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, market participants have priced in two additional 25-basis point cuts for this year. One each in December and October, with 93% probability and 79% respectively.

In a low interest rate environment, gold, which is considered a safe haven in times of uncertainty, performs well.

NATO also warned Russia that it will use "all necessary non-military and military tools" to defend themselves, while U.S. president Donald Trump changed his rhetoric, claiming Ukraine can recover all the territory occupied or seized by Russia.

Gold (should) be able to consolidate above 3,750 in the near term. There is a possibility of a new barrier around $3,900, said Ricardo Evangelista. Senior analyst at ActivTrades.

Silver spot rose by 0.5%, to $44.23 an ounce. This is a close 14-year-high. Palladium rose 0.3% and platinum 0.4%, respectively, to $1225.46. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

(source: Reuters)