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Copper prices fluctuate when China GDP exceeds forecasts and markets focus on US data

Copper prices fluctuate when China GDP exceeds forecasts and markets focus on US data

The London Metal Exchange (LME) and Shanghai Futures Exchange (SFE) saw only small fluctuations in copper prices on Tuesday as China's economic growth exceeded forecasts. Meanwhile, traders were awaiting U.S. inflation figures and possible monetary policy changes.

As of 0700 GMT the LME's three-month copper contract was up by 0.31% to $9,648.5 per ton. The most traded copper contract on SHFE, however, fell 0.26% to $78,090 ($10,884.84).

China's GDP increased by 5.2% in April-June. This is slightly less than the 5.4% growth rate of the first quarter. The first-half GDP growth for 2025 will be 5.3%. According to China's National Bureau of Statistics, fixed asset investment grew 2.8% on an annual basis.

The metals market won't react much as long as China's first-half GDP growth is over 5%. For the remainder of 2025, and the longer-term, it will be more about how Beijing deals with the overcapacity and fierce competition in many industrial sectors.

The dollar was near its three-week peak against other major currencies as traders awaited U.S. Inflation data to get clues about monetary policy, and a possible departure by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in the wake of continued criticism from U.S. president Donald Trump.

SHFE tin dropped 1.12%, to 263,240 Yuan per ton. This was primarily due to market speculation about the reissue of tin mine licenses in Wa State in Myanmar on Tuesday. Wa State suspended work in the local mines to protect its resources.

A Shanghai-based tin dealer said that the price of SHFE tin has lowered in response to the increased supply expected in the next few months.

LME lead dropped 0.72% to $1988.5 per ton. Zinc fell 0.6% to $2713.5. Tin eased 0.55% at $33,350. Nickel declined 0.36% at $15,010. Aluminium traded flat, $2,592.5.

SHFE Nickel fell by 1.15% per ton to 119.380 yuan. Lead eased by 0.76% to 16,930 yuan. Zinc dropped 0.54% at 22,085 ton. Aluminium was unchanged at 20,430 ton.

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(source: Reuters)