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The dollar rises and stocks advance after the latest tariff threat

The dollar rises and stocks advance after the latest tariff threat

Dollar rose for the third consecutive session on Monday, after U.S. president Donald Trump warned about more tariffs including steel and aluminium. A gauge of global stock prices advanced, shrugging aside concerns over another round of duties.

Trump is expected on Monday or Tuesday to announce 25% tariffs on U.S. imports of steel and aluminum, and will reveal other reciprocal duties shortly after.

China's retaliatory duties on certain U.S. imports will take effect Monday. There is no sign that Beijing and Washington are making progress towards a new trading arrangement.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of currency) rose 0.2%, reaching 108.30. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.18%, at $1.0308.

Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex's chief market strategist in New York said: "This is very early days." The market is just choosy and not really directional at the moment.

The dollar gained 0.34% against the Japanese yen to 151.91, while the pound fell 0.37% to 1.2363.

Shigeru Shiba, the Japanese prime minister, expressed optimism Sunday that his nation could avoid a tariff war with the United States and higher U.S. duties.

The Canadian dollar fell 0.1% against the greenback, to C$1.43, and the Mexican peso was down by 0.2% versus C$20.607 as the greenback retreated from its earlier highs.

Wall Street closed with gains, led by the tech and energy sectors. The S&P 500 Materials index increased 0.5%. Steel companies like Nucor and Steel Dynamics, both up 5.6% each, were the main contributors.

After McDonald's reported its quarterly results, shares of the fast food restaurant rose 4.8%.

Investors are saying: 'Hey let's get back to the areas that have worked.' Sam Stovall is the chief investment strategist of CFRA Research. He believes that earnings are one reason why investors remain optimistic.

MSCI's global stock index rose by 4.16 points (0.48%) to 873.60. This is its fourth increase in five sessions.

The STOXX 600 Index for Europe rose by 0.58%, closing at a new record high of $545.92. This was mainly due to a 1.5% increase in the oil and natural gas sector.

Stocks of European steelmakers reversed their early declines. ArcelorMittal in Luxembourg, for example, closed 0.6% lower and Salzgitter in Germany, closed unchanged.

Analysts are worried that tariffs will rekindle inflation in the United States, which would reduce the flexibility of the Federal Reserve, to lower interest rates. This is a potential outcome, and has supported the U.S. Dollar since Trump's election.

According to CME's FedWatch Tool, the markets expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged at its meeting in March. Expectations for a rate cut of at least 25% basis points will not rise above 50% until June.

The Fed chair Jerome Powell will be speaking to the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee on Tuesday. It is likely that his comments on inflation and tariffs will be closely watched.

Investors awaited new economic data, such as the latest consumer price reading and a wave of fresh supply.

Oil prices recovered despite persistent fears of a global trade war. U.S. crude oil settled at $72.32 per barrel, an increase of 1.86%. Brent crude rose to $75.87 a barrel, an increase of 1.62%.

(source: Reuters)