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US gasoline prices reach $4.50 per gallon as the summer driving season approaches

GasBuddy data showed that the U.S. average retail price of gas in the United States surpassed $4.50 a galon on Tuesday, for the first time since July 20, 2022. The U.S.-Israeli conflict?with _Iran? was disrupting a significant portion of the global oil supply shipped through the Strait of Hormuz.

The U.S. Memorial Day Weekend and the peak driving season of summer are approaching. As President Donald Trump and Republicans campaign for November's midterm elections, rising pump prices present a serious political risk. Analysts say that without a de-escalation of the Middle East, U.S. motor oil prices could surpass previous records.

As of 5:20 pm, the national average gasoline price was $4.52 per gallon. GasBuddy's data shows that the price of gasoline in the U.S. was $4.52 per gallon on Tuesday. Prices reached $4 late in March, the highest level since August 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine.

GasBuddy's data shows that California has the highest average price at the pump in the United States, $6.14 per gallon.

On fears that the Gulf War will continue, gasoline prices have risen along with crude oil futures. Brent crude, the global benchmark for crude oil prices has risen 58% since war began.

GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan stated that the Strait of Hormuz closure continues to push up oil and gasoline prices. However, we've seen refinery issues which have exacerbated some of these increases.

Last week, BP's 440,000-barrel-per-day oil refinery in Whiting, Indiana, experienced a brief power outage that caused one of its processing units to be shut down. The company has since reported that operations have been restored.

De Haan stated that "if the Strait of Hormuz doesn't open, I expect gas prices to stay over $4.50 per gallon this summer."

Before U.S. and Israel launched their attack on Iran, February 28, approximately?20% global oil supplies were passing through the Strait of Hormuz every day.

Morgan Stanley stated that U.S. gas inventories are?drawing quicker than the normal seasonal pattern. The base case indicated that stocks would fall below 200 million barrels in late August, close to historic summer lows.

EIA data shows that U.S. gasoline inventories fell by over 6 million barrels in the last week, and were at 222.3 millions barrels on April 24. This was the lowest level since December, and more than 2,000,000 barrels below seasonal averages for the past five years. The data show that gasoline demand reached 8.95 million barrels based on a four week average, an increase of 1% compared to the same period last year.

Morgan Stanley said that the?demand remained stable despite pump prices of $4 or more. It is not driving draws, but it's not soft enough for the supply-driven stocks to slow down.

U.S. gasoline contracts were hovering around $3.64 per gallon on Monday, their highest price since 2022.

(source: Reuters)