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Russian Central Bank says export prospects will worsen in the first quarter

Russian Central Bank says export prospects will worsen in the first quarter
Russian Central Bank says export prospects will worsen in the first quarter

Alexei Zabotkin, First Deputy Governor of the Central Bank, said that the outlook for Russian exports in the first quarter of 2026 will be more difficult than it was last year. This will have a negative impact on the federal budget.

A?source near the government said earlier that the Russian budget deficit would be nearly three times higher than the official target at the end of 2026 due to falling Indian purchases?of Russian oil, and the widening of trade discounts.

"The situation for our exports continues be challenging." Zabotkin, a RBC radio host, said that the situation is likely to be more challenging in the first quarter of the year compared to the fourth quarter or third quarter of the previous year.

He said that a weaker export climate would have an inflationary effect. However, he didn't mention India specifically.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president announced on Monday a deal to cut tariffs from 50% to 18% in exchange for New Delhi stopping its Russian oil purchases and lowering barriers.

India's Russian crude oil imports fell in January, continuing the decline that began in December.

The government released data on Wednesday showing that budget revenues in the energy sector fell by half to 393.3 billion rubles ($5.12 billion) in January, their lowest level since August 2020. $1 = 76.7500 Rubels (Reporting Elena Fabrichnaya, Writing by Gleb Brianski, Editing by Ros Rulse)

(source: Reuters)