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Saudi Arabia's finance ministry expects a fiscal deficit of 3,3% of GDP by 2026.

Saudi Arabia projected a fiscal surplus of 3.3% for 2026. This is higher than the previous estimate in the budget for 2025, which predicted a deficit of 2.9% for next year.

The 2026 deficit equals 165 billion Riyals ($44.00 billion).

The Ministry

Estimated Value

The 2025 deficit is projected to be 245 billion riyals (65.33 billion dollars), or 5.3%, which is higher than the 101 billion riyals that were originally forecast in the budget released last November.

The latest pre-budget announcement on Tuesday by the Finance Ministry puts the total expenditures for 2026 at 1,31 trillion riyals (349 billion dollars) and the revenue at 1,14 trillion riyals (304 billion dollars).

Saudi Arabia has embarked on a massive overhaul of its economy known as Vision 2030. It aims to reduce reliance upon oil and develop more sustainable revenue streams. This requires hundreds of billions in investment.

The Ministry of Finance forecasts a real GDP growth rate of 4.4% by 2025, fueled by non-oil activity growth, and 4.6% by 2026.

According to a July poll, 20 economists surveyed between July 15 and 28 predicted that Saudi Arabia's economy would grow by 3.8% in this year. This is nearly three times faster than the 1.3% recorded growth in 2024.

The International Monetary Fund increased its GDP growth forecast of Saudi Arabia for 2025 to 3.5%, from 3%. This was partly due to the demand for government-led initiatives and the OPEC+ plan to gradually end oil production cuts. $1 = 3.7501 Riyals (Reporting and writing by Elwelly Elwelly; editing by Alex Richardson).

(source: Reuters)