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US cuts forecast for corn stocks as more grain goes toward ethanol, feed

The U.S. Department of Agriculture cut its outlook for domestic corn ending stocks on Thursday as the government stated more of the grain will be used to make ethanol biofuel and feed for stock.

Forecasts for U.S. corn use increased after futures rates was up to three-year lows this year, but international corn products are still thought about plentiful and corn prices were trading lower after the report.

U.S. corn stocks are predicted at 2.122 billion bushels by completion of the 2023-24 marketing year on Aug. 31, below USDA's previous projection for 2.172 billion bushels. Analysts had anticipated an even larger cut to 2.102 billion.

Stocks are still projected at a five-year high after farmers collected a record crop in 2023 and put much of it into storage.

The USDA, in a monthly report, estimated that 5.4 billion bushels of U.S. corn will be utilized for ethanol, up from its March projection for 5.375 billion It stated 5.7 billion. bushels will be used for feed and other recurring functions, up from 5.675 billion in March.

With no supply changes and use rising, ending stocks are reduced, the USDA stated.

The agency reduced its projection for Argentina's corn crop to 55 million metric lots from 56 million in March, below experts' expectations for 55.6 million.

Argentina's Rosario grains exchange on Wednesday cut its projection for the nation's corn harvest to 50.5 million metric tons, mentioning unprecedented damage by the spiroplasma illness brought by leafhoppers.

The USDA left its projection for Brazil's soybean crop the same at 155 million metric lots. Brazilian crop company Conab earlier reduced its soybean output projection to 146.522 million metric tons due to negative weather condition, highlighting a huge divide in the outlooks.

Overall, there's plenty of beans out there and plenty of corn between South America and the U.S. to supply the world, stated Terry Reilly, senior farming strategist for Marex.

(source: Reuters)